Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 96.5% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 14 reaching 23°C or below, anchored by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting a daytime peak of 18-19°C at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport—the market's resolution source. Cool maritime air advection from the Yellow Sea, combined with persistent southeast winds at 7-10 m/s (Beaufort force 3-4) and overcast skies, suppresses daytime heating despite typical mid-May solar angles, positioning well under the 21°C climatological average. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles reinforce this with tight clustering around 17-19°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clearing and wind lull boosting insolation to nudge peaks toward 20-22°C; hourly airport observations will clarify as the day progresses.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 14?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 14?
23°C or below 97.5%
24°C 2.5%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$13,791 거래량
$13,791 거래량
2026.05.14
23°C or below
98%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
23°C or below 97.5%
24°C 2.5%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$13,791 거래량
$13,791 거래량
2026.05.14
23°C or below
$1,932 거래량
98%
24°C
$814 거래량
2%
25°C
$1,345 거래량
<1%
26°C
$746 거래량
<1%
27°C
$1,569 거래량
<1%
28°C
$1,179 거래량
<1%
29°C
$1,275 거래량
<1%
30°C
$1,255 거래량
<1%
31°C
$1,216 거래량
<1%
32°C
$638 거래량
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,908 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 96.5% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 14 reaching 23°C or below, anchored by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting a daytime peak of 18-19°C at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport—the market's resolution source. Cool maritime air advection from the Yellow Sea, combined with persistent southeast winds at 7-10 m/s (Beaufort force 3-4) and overcast skies, suppresses daytime heating despite typical mid-May solar angles, positioning well under the 21°C climatological average. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles reinforce this with tight clustering around 17-19°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clearing and wind lull boosting insolation to nudge peaks toward 20-22°C; hourly airport observations will clarify as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
거래량
$13,791종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 96.5% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 14 reaching 23°C or below, anchored by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting a daytime peak of 18-19°C at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport—the market's resolution source. Cool maritime air advection from the Yellow Sea, combined with persistent southeast winds at 7-10 m/s (Beaufort force 3-4) and overcast skies, suppresses daytime heating despite typical mid-May solar angles, positioning well under the 21°C climatological average. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles reinforce this with tight clustering around 17-19°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clearing and wind lull boosting insolation to nudge peaks toward 20-22°C; hourly airport observations will clarify as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$13,791종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 96.5% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 14 reaching 23°C or below, anchored by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting a daytime peak of 18-19°C at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport—the market's resolution source. Cool maritime air advection from the Yellow Sea, combined with persistent southeast winds at 7-10 m/s (Beaufort force 3-4) and overcast skies, suppresses daytime heating despite typical mid-May solar angles, positioning well under the 21°C climatological average. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles reinforce this with tight clustering around 17-19°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clearing and wind lull boosting insolation to nudge peaks toward 20-22°C; hourly airport observations will clarify as the day progresses.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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