Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily high near 19°C in Beijing on May 17, driven by moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with late-spring climatology, where Beijing’s average May highs reach about 25°C yet can dip several degrees under stable high-pressure patterns or residual cool air advection. The market’s strong 53.5% implied probability on 19°C reflects trader assessment of these conditions, with 18°C and 20°C as close alternatives should observations at official stations vary slightly from model runs. Updated surface observations and final 24-hour maximum readings will determine resolution within the next few hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
19°C 53%
18°C 21.5%
20°C 20%
21°C 5%
NOWE
$30,731 Wol.
NOWE
$30,731 Wol.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
21%
19°C
53%
20°C
20%
21°C
5%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 53%
18°C 21.5%
20°C 20%
21°C 5%
NOWE
$30,731 Wol.
NOWE
$30,731 Wol.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$506 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$629 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$1,749 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$5,142 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$6,903 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$3,018 Wol.
21%
19°C
$1,823 Wol.
53%
20°C
$1,941 Wol.
20%
21°C
$1,714 Wol.
5%
22°C
$3,250 Wol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$4,127 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily high near 19°C in Beijing on May 17, driven by moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with late-spring climatology, where Beijing’s average May highs reach about 25°C yet can dip several degrees under stable high-pressure patterns or residual cool air advection. The market’s strong 53.5% implied probability on 19°C reflects trader assessment of these conditions, with 18°C and 20°C as close alternatives should observations at official stations vary slightly from model runs. Updated surface observations and final 24-hour maximum readings will determine resolution within the next few hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$30,731Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily high near 19°C in Beijing on May 17, driven by moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with late-spring climatology, where Beijing’s average May highs reach about 25°C yet can dip several degrees under stable high-pressure patterns or residual cool air advection. The market’s strong 53.5% implied probability on 19°C reflects trader assessment of these conditions, with 18°C and 20°C as close alternatives should observations at official stations vary slightly from model runs. Updated surface observations and final 24-hour maximum readings will determine resolution within the next few hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$30,731Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily high near 19°C in Beijing on May 17, driven by moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with late-spring climatology, where Beijing’s average May highs reach about 25°C yet can dip several degrees under stable high-pressure patterns or residual cool air advection. The market’s strong 53.5% implied probability on 19°C reflects trader assessment of these conditions, with 18°C and 20°C as close alternatives should observations at official stations vary slightly from model runs. Updated surface observations and final 24-hour maximum readings will determine resolution within the next few hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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