Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Cape Town on May 13 at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) stations, including Cape Town International Airport, which peaked at exactly 18°C midday amid persistent cloud cover and isolated showers. This aligns with forecast model consensus for cool conditions following a recent cold front and stormy weather on May 11, featuring north-westerly winds and high moisture suppressing daytime heating below the early May climatological average of 20–22°C. With sunset approaching and no significant clearing anticipated, temperatures are unlikely to rise further; a realistic challenge would require an official SAWS revision from a secondary station exceeding 18°C, though current trends make this improbable. SAWS final daily summary expected soon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 13?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 13?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$52,798 Wol.
$52,798 Wol.
May 13, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$52,798 Wol.
$52,798 Wol.
May 13, 2026
12°C or below
$2,437 Wol.
No
13°C
$1,461 Wol.
No
14°C
$3,534 Wol.
No
15°C
$2,229 Wol.
No
16°C
$3,966 Wol.
No
17°C
$18,523 Wol.
No
18°C
$4,625 Wol.
Yes
19°C
$6,176 Wol.
No
20°C
$2,966 Wol.
No
21°C
$3,296 Wol.
No
22°C or higher
$3,586 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Cape Town on May 13 at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) stations, including Cape Town International Airport, which peaked at exactly 18°C midday amid persistent cloud cover and isolated showers. This aligns with forecast model consensus for cool conditions following a recent cold front and stormy weather on May 11, featuring north-westerly winds and high moisture suppressing daytime heating below the early May climatological average of 20–22°C. With sunset approaching and no significant clearing anticipated, temperatures are unlikely to rise further; a realistic challenge would require an official SAWS revision from a secondary station exceeding 18°C, though current trends make this improbable. SAWS final daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 11, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Wolumen
$52,798Data zakończenia
May 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 12:41 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Cape Town on May 13 at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) stations, including Cape Town International Airport, which peaked at exactly 18°C midday amid persistent cloud cover and isolated showers. This aligns with forecast model consensus for cool conditions following a recent cold front and stormy weather on May 11, featuring north-westerly winds and high moisture suppressing daytime heating below the early May climatological average of 20–22°C. With sunset approaching and no significant clearing anticipated, temperatures are unlikely to rise further; a realistic challenge would require an official SAWS revision from a secondary station exceeding 18°C, though current trends make this improbable. SAWS final daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$52,798Data zakończenia
May 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 12:41 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Cape Town on May 13 at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) stations, including Cape Town International Airport, which peaked at exactly 18°C midday amid persistent cloud cover and isolated showers. This aligns with forecast model consensus for cool conditions following a recent cold front and stormy weather on May 11, featuring north-westerly winds and high moisture suppressing daytime heating below the early May climatological average of 20–22°C. With sunset approaching and no significant clearing anticipated, temperatures are unlikely to rise further; a realistic challenge would require an official SAWS revision from a secondary station exceeding 18°C, though current trends make this improbable. SAWS final daily summary expected soon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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