Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 13, anchored by China Meteorological Administration forecasts capping the daily maximum near 19°C amid overcast skies and southerly breezes channeling cool Yellow Sea maritime air in the wake of a recent cold front. Morning observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) register mid-teens Celsius under persistent cloud cover, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting subdued insolation below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. Unexpected afternoon clearing could enable 3–5°C extra warming via enhanced solar heating, though low-altitude satellite imagery signals ongoing stability; resolution awaits finalized Wunderground ZSQD data by midnight local time.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 13?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 13?
23°C or below 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$29,472 Wol.
$29,472 Wol.
May 13, 2026
23°C or below
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
23°C or below 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$29,472 Wol.
$29,472 Wol.
May 13, 2026
23°C or below
$12,183 Wol.
Yes
24°C
$2,967 Wol.
No
25°C
$1,894 Wol.
No
26°C
$1,962 Wol.
No
27°C
$1,983 Wol.
No
28°C
$1,544 Wol.
No
29°C
$1,262 Wol.
No
30°C
$1,008 Wol.
No
31°C
$3,222 Wol.
No
32°C
$701 Wol.
No
33°C or higher
$746 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 13, anchored by China Meteorological Administration forecasts capping the daily maximum near 19°C amid overcast skies and southerly breezes channeling cool Yellow Sea maritime air in the wake of a recent cold front. Morning observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) register mid-teens Celsius under persistent cloud cover, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting subdued insolation below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. Unexpected afternoon clearing could enable 3–5°C extra warming via enhanced solar heating, though low-altitude satellite imagery signals ongoing stability; resolution awaits finalized Wunderground ZSQD data by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Wolumen
$29,472Data zakończenia
May 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 13, anchored by China Meteorological Administration forecasts capping the daily maximum near 19°C amid overcast skies and southerly breezes channeling cool Yellow Sea maritime air in the wake of a recent cold front. Morning observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) register mid-teens Celsius under persistent cloud cover, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting subdued insolation below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. Unexpected afternoon clearing could enable 3–5°C extra warming via enhanced solar heating, though low-altitude satellite imagery signals ongoing stability; resolution awaits finalized Wunderground ZSQD data by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$29,472Data zakończenia
May 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 13, anchored by China Meteorological Administration forecasts capping the daily maximum near 19°C amid overcast skies and southerly breezes channeling cool Yellow Sea maritime air in the wake of a recent cold front. Morning observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) register mid-teens Celsius under persistent cloud cover, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting subdued insolation below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. Unexpected afternoon clearing could enable 3–5°C extra warming via enhanced solar heating, though low-altitude satellite imagery signals ongoing stability; resolution awaits finalized Wunderground ZSQD data by midnight local time.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania