National Weather Service forecast models project a daily high of 58–59°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport today, driving the 84.5% market-implied probability for that bin. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a stable high-pressure ridge maintain moderate temperatures without significant warming aloft or downslope effects that could push readings higher. Historical mid-May climatology for the region centers around the upper 50s to low 60s, and current numerical guidance shows tight model consensus with minimal spread. Traders are weighting the absence of late-day clearing or stronger solar heating that might otherwise elevate the peak, leaving only slim odds for adjacent ranges. Resolution depends on the official maximum reported by the end of the calendar day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seattle on May 16?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 16?
58-59°F 96.8%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$86,129 Wol.
$86,129 Wol.
May 16, 2026
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
97%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F or higher
<1%
58-59°F 96.8%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$86,129 Wol.
$86,129 Wol.
May 16, 2026
50-51°F
$9,460 Wol.
<1%
52-53°F
$6,322 Wol.
<1%
54-55°F
$5,161 Wol.
<1%
56-57°F
$6,698 Wol.
<1%
58-59°F
$6,725 Wol.
97%
60-61°F
$12,930 Wol.
1%
62-63°F
$7,210 Wol.
1%
64-65°F
$1,754 Wol.
<1%
66°F or higher
$2,182 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast models project a daily high of 58–59°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport today, driving the 84.5% market-implied probability for that bin. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a stable high-pressure ridge maintain moderate temperatures without significant warming aloft or downslope effects that could push readings higher. Historical mid-May climatology for the region centers around the upper 50s to low 60s, and current numerical guidance shows tight model consensus with minimal spread. Traders are weighting the absence of late-day clearing or stronger solar heating that might otherwise elevate the peak, leaving only slim odds for adjacent ranges. Resolution depends on the official maximum reported by the end of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$86,129Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast models project a daily high of 58–59°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport today, driving the 84.5% market-implied probability for that bin. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a stable high-pressure ridge maintain moderate temperatures without significant warming aloft or downslope effects that could push readings higher. Historical mid-May climatology for the region centers around the upper 50s to low 60s, and current numerical guidance shows tight model consensus with minimal spread. Traders are weighting the absence of late-day clearing or stronger solar heating that might otherwise elevate the peak, leaving only slim odds for adjacent ranges. Resolution depends on the official maximum reported by the end of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$86,129Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecast models project a daily high of 58–59°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport today, driving the 84.5% market-implied probability for that bin. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a stable high-pressure ridge maintain moderate temperatures without significant warming aloft or downslope effects that could push readings higher. Historical mid-May climatology for the region centers around the upper 50s to low 60s, and current numerical guidance shows tight model consensus with minimal spread. Traders are weighting the absence of late-day clearing or stronger solar heating that might otherwise elevate the peak, leaving only slim odds for adjacent ranges. Resolution depends on the official maximum reported by the end of the calendar day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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