Skip to main content

United Nations predictions & odds

·
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

55%

Rafael Grossi

$119K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

52%

Rafael Grossi

$57.6K Vol.

$39.7K Liq.

5

António Guterres out by December 31?

António Guterres out by December 31?

32%

$1.6K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$137K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

10

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

8%

$50.8K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

71%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

30%

$14.0K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

12%

$122K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

13%

December 31, 2026

$237K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

15

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

39%

December 31, 2026

$29.5K Vol.

$206 Liq.

24

Ends in 8 months

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

13%

June 30

$613K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

6%

$75.5K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?

Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?

13%

May 31

$13.4K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

8%

Yulia Navalnaya

$17M Vol.

$148K today

$1M Liq.

171

Ends in 5 months

New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

12%

$398K Vol.

$49.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by...?

Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by...?

60%

May 17

$149K Vol.

$114K today

$438K Liq.

6

Ends in 2 days

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

36%

5

$7M Vol.

$330K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

17%

↑ $3

$642K Vol.

$39.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

48%

June 30, 2027

$479K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

33

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

44%

Petro - Colombia President

$283K Vol.

$259K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like United Nations.

Polymarket currently hosts 114 active markets for United Nations that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next Secretary-General of the United Nations”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $29.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 8% chance to Yulia Navalnaya. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on United Nations predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.