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icon for Eleição Senado Amapá: 1º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição Senado Amapá: 1º Lugar

icon for Eleição Senado Amapá: 1º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição Senado Amapá: 1º Lugar

Acácio Favacho 44%

Alliny Serrão 44%

Capi 44%

Helio Silva 44%

Polymarket
NOVO

Acácio Favacho 44%

Alliny Serrão 44%

Capi 44%

Helio Silva 44%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Acácio Favacho

Acácio Favacho

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Alliny Serrão

Alliny Serrão

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Capi

Capi

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Helio Silva

Helio Silva

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Juíza Jô

Juíza Jô

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Lucas Barreto

Lucas Barreto

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Rayssa Furlan

Rayssa Furlan

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Professor Uzian Pinto

Professor Uzian Pinto

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Randolfe

Randolfe

$0 Vol.

44%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Amapá’s 2026 Senate race for first place, a fragmented field of roughly nine registered candidates keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Incumbents Lucas Barreto (PSD) and Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) compete with federal deputy Acácio Favacho (MDB), state assembly president Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), former senator João Capiberibe (PSB), Rayssa Furlan (Podemos), and several lower-profile entrants. Official campaigning began only on August 16, leaving limited time for differentiation. A late-July survey showed Rayssa Furlan ahead but with substantial undecided voters and margins within sampling error. Upcoming debates, party alliances, and regional turnout patterns in this two-seat contest remain the main variables that could separate the leaders before October voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Amapá’s 2026 Senate race for first place, a fragmented field of roughly nine registered candidates keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Incumbents Lucas Barreto (PSD) and Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) compete with federal deputy Acácio Favacho (MDB), state assembly president Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), former senator João Capiberibe (PSB), Rayssa Furlan (Podemos), and several lower-profile entrants. Official campaigning began only on August 16, leaving limited time for differentiation. A late-July survey showed Rayssa Furlan ahead but with substantial undecided voters and margins within sampling error. Upcoming debates, party alliances, and regional turnout patterns in this two-seat contest remain the main variables that could separate the leaders before October voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição Senado Amapá: 1º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Acácio Favacho" at 44%, followed by "Alliny Serrão" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição Senado Amapá: 1º Lugar" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição Senado Amapá: 1º Lugar," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição Senado Amapá: 1º Lugar" is "Acácio Favacho" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alliny Serrão" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição Senado Amapá: 1º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.