Recent statements from Kremlin officials underscore the significant barriers to a comprehensive Ukraine-Russia peace agreement by late June, including unresolved disputes over territory in Donbas and eastern regions, security guarantees, and troop withdrawals. The most recent verifiable development, a U.S.-mediated three-day ceasefire observed from May 9 to 11 with a prisoner exchange of 1,000 personnel per side, temporarily halted kinetic activity but failed to advance formal negotiations, which remain paused amid complex demands from both sides. Russian President Vladimir Putin has indicated willingness for direct talks only after a full treaty, while emphasizing preconditions that Ukrainian officials have not accepted. These factors sustain trader consensus on the low likelihood of a signed deal within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$439,184 Vol.
$439,184 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sim
$439,184 Vol.
$439,184 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent statements from Kremlin officials underscore the significant barriers to a comprehensive Ukraine-Russia peace agreement by late June, including unresolved disputes over territory in Donbas and eastern regions, security guarantees, and troop withdrawals. The most recent verifiable development, a U.S.-mediated three-day ceasefire observed from May 9 to 11 with a prisoner exchange of 1,000 personnel per side, temporarily halted kinetic activity but failed to advance formal negotiations, which remain paused amid complex demands from both sides. Russian President Vladimir Putin has indicated willingness for direct talks only after a full treaty, while emphasizing preconditions that Ukrainian officials have not accepted. These factors sustain trader consensus on the low likelihood of a signed deal within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ET
Volume
$439,184Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent statements from Kremlin officials underscore the significant barriers to a comprehensive Ukraine-Russia peace agreement by late June, including unresolved disputes over territory in Donbas and eastern regions, security guarantees, and troop withdrawals. The most recent verifiable development, a U.S.-mediated three-day ceasefire observed from May 9 to 11 with a prisoner exchange of 1,000 personnel per side, temporarily halted kinetic activity but failed to advance formal negotiations, which remain paused amid complex demands from both sides. Russian President Vladimir Putin has indicated willingness for direct talks only after a full treaty, while emphasizing preconditions that Ukrainian officials have not accepted. These factors sustain trader consensus on the low likelihood of a signed deal within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$439,184Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent statements from Kremlin officials underscore the significant barriers to a comprehensive Ukraine-Russia peace agreement by late June, including unresolved disputes over territory in Donbas and eastern regions, security guarantees, and troop withdrawals. The most recent verifiable development, a U.S.-mediated three-day ceasefire observed from May 9 to 11 with a prisoner exchange of 1,000 personnel per side, temporarily halted kinetic activity but failed to advance formal negotiations, which remain paused amid complex demands from both sides. Russian President Vladimir Putin has indicated willingness for direct talks only after a full treaty, while emphasizing preconditions that Ukrainian officials have not accepted. These factors sustain trader consensus on the low likelihood of a signed deal within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Frequently Asked Questions