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Lei previsões e probabilidades

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Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

41%

$1M Vol.

$66.5K Liq.

130

Ends em 6 meses

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

99%

Housing for the 21st Century Act

$130K Vol.

$44.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

16%

$16.8K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

24%

December 31

$447K Vol.

$41.3K Liq.

5

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

8%

$171K Vol.

$36.0K Liq.

21

Ends em 6 meses

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?

1%

June 30

$68.0K Vol.

$17.0K Liq.

3

Ends em 2 dias

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

1%

$584 Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30?

Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30?

12%

$924 Vol.

$158 Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

5%

$717 Vol.

$70 Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Reckless Ben arrested by July 31?

Reckless Ben arrested by July 31?

18%

$21 Vol.

$307 Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

25%

$304 Vol.

$65 Liq.

1

Ends em 2 dias

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

65%

$477 Vol.

$71 Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

US military draft authorized in 2026?

US military draft authorized in 2026?

9%

$435K Vol.

$45.9K Liq.

10

Ends em 6 meses

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

36%

John Brennan

$161K Vol.

$201K Liq.

4

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

97%

North Carolina

$325K Vol.

$346K Liq.

5

Ends em 4 meses

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

11%

December 31, 2026

$459K Vol.

$47.1K Liq.

48

Ends há 6 meses

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

92%

$274K Vol.

$39.6K Liq.

35

Ends em 6 meses

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?

50%

July 31

$323K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

51

Ends em 2 dias

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

<1%

June 30, 2026

$4M Vol.

$64.5K Liq.

46

Ends em 2 dias

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

24%

United Kingdom

$346K Vol.

$152K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 72 active markets for Lei that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US military draft authorized in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 0% chance to June 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Lei predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.