Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's morning low temperature reached exactly 12°C around 0600 KST on May 14, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus from prior 24 hours that pinned the daily minimum there amid clear skies and light easterly winds. Daytime highs have climbed to 26°C with increasing solar heating, eliminating further cooling potential and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 12°C versus negligible odds for 11°C or below. This positioning reflects May climatological norms, where Seoul lows average 12–16°C, supported by stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-day temperature plunge or official data revision from the primary station, though current synoptic patterns make these highly improbable; final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле 14 мая?
12°C 100.0%
11°C или ниже <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$29,660 Объем
$29,660 Объем
11°C или ниже
Нет
12°C
Да
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C или выше
Нет
12°C 100.0%
11°C или ниже <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$29,660 Объем
$29,660 Объем
11°C или ниже
Нет
12°C
Да
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's morning low temperature reached exactly 12°C around 0600 KST on May 14, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus from prior 24 hours that pinned the daily minimum there amid clear skies and light easterly winds. Daytime highs have climbed to 26°C with increasing solar heating, eliminating further cooling potential and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 12°C versus negligible odds for 11°C or below. This positioning reflects May climatological norms, where Seoul lows average 12–16°C, supported by stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-day temperature plunge or official data revision from the primary station, though current synoptic patterns make these highly improbable; final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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