Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles points to a Beijing high near 20°C on May 17, shaped by a weak cold front that brings northerly flow, scattered light rain, and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime solar heating. This setup caps peak temperatures while allowing modest warming if the front passes earlier and skies partially clear. Sustained overcast would instead favor readings at or below 19°C, whereas any delay in cloud development could briefly reach 21–22°C. The tight clustering of 19–21°C market-implied odds reflects these timing uncertainties in the final forecast updates ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
19°C 37%
20°C 29%
21°C 20%
18°C 13.2%
НОВЕ
$23,907 Обс.
НОВЕ
$23,907 Обс.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
13%
19°C
37%
20°C
29%
21°C
20%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 37%
20°C 29%
21°C 20%
18°C 13.2%
НОВЕ
$23,907 Обс.
НОВЕ
$23,907 Обс.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$506 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$629 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$1,749 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$5,142 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$6,903 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$1,437 Обс.
13%
19°C
$1,308 Обс.
37%
20°C
$1,440 Обс.
29%
21°C
$1,103 Обс.
20%
22°C
$1,923 Обс.
3%
23°C or higher
$3,765 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles points to a Beijing high near 20°C on May 17, shaped by a weak cold front that brings northerly flow, scattered light rain, and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime solar heating. This setup caps peak temperatures while allowing modest warming if the front passes earlier and skies partially clear. Sustained overcast would instead favor readings at or below 19°C, whereas any delay in cloud development could briefly reach 21–22°C. The tight clustering of 19–21°C market-implied odds reflects these timing uncertainties in the final forecast updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$23,907Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles points to a Beijing high near 20°C on May 17, shaped by a weak cold front that brings northerly flow, scattered light rain, and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime solar heating. This setup caps peak temperatures while allowing modest warming if the front passes earlier and skies partially clear. Sustained overcast would instead favor readings at or below 19°C, whereas any delay in cloud development could briefly reach 21–22°C. The tight clustering of 19–21°C market-implied odds reflects these timing uncertainties in the final forecast updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$23,907Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAARecent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles points to a Beijing high near 20°C on May 17, shaped by a weak cold front that brings northerly flow, scattered light rain, and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime solar heating. This setup caps peak temperatures while allowing modest warming if the front passes earlier and skies partially clear. Sustained overcast would instead favor readings at or below 19°C, whereas any delay in cloud development could briefly reach 21–22°C. The tight clustering of 19–21°C market-implied odds reflects these timing uncertainties in the final forecast updates ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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