India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts for May 17 position maximum temperatures at 42.1–42.2°C across key Lucknow district areas like Chinhat and Kakori under mainly clear skies and no rainfall, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 41–44°C outcomes with 52% implied probability for 41°C or below. This reflects recent highs near 39–41°C amid ongoing heatwave conditions in East Uttar Pradesh—defined as sustained departures above 4.5°C from normal—extending through May 19 per IMD advisories. Seasonal climatology supports peaks in this range during pre-monsoon subsidence, though localized urban heat effects and model uncertainty could tip toward 42–43°C; watch IMD's daily updates at 0830 IST for refined guidance as observations evolve.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 17?
41°C or below 86%
42°C 9%
44°C 3.0%
43°C 2.6%
41°C or below
86%
42°C
9%
43°C
3%
44°C
3%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 86%
42°C 9%
44°C 3.0%
43°C 2.6%
41°C or below
86%
42°C
9%
43°C
3%
44°C
3%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKIndia Meteorological Department block-level forecasts for May 17 position maximum temperatures at 42.1–42.2°C across key Lucknow district areas like Chinhat and Kakori under mainly clear skies and no rainfall, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 41–44°C outcomes with 52% implied probability for 41°C or below. This reflects recent highs near 39–41°C amid ongoing heatwave conditions in East Uttar Pradesh—defined as sustained departures above 4.5°C from normal—extending through May 19 per IMD advisories. Seasonal climatology supports peaks in this range during pre-monsoon subsidence, though localized urban heat effects and model uncertainty could tip toward 42–43°C; watch IMD's daily updates at 0830 IST for refined guidance as observations evolve.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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