India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow Airport's maximum temperature reached just 37.9°C on May 15, 2026—a 1.9°C departure below normal—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 41°C or below, as the day's peak has passed with ample margin. Clear skies prevailed, aligning with IMD forecasts of around 39°C max, but actual readings stayed cooler amid north-northwesterly winds and seasonal variability in pre-monsoon heat. This positioning reflects verified observational data over model projections, with historical May averages near 40°C providing context. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event, limited to rare data revisions from official stations; resolution awaits final IMD bulletin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
41°C or below 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$38,237 Обс.
$38,237 Обс.
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$38,237 Обс.
$38,237 Обс.
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow Airport's maximum temperature reached just 37.9°C on May 15, 2026—a 1.9°C departure below normal—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 41°C or below, as the day's peak has passed with ample margin. Clear skies prevailed, aligning with IMD forecasts of around 39°C max, but actual readings stayed cooler amid north-northwesterly winds and seasonal variability in pre-monsoon heat. This positioning reflects verified observational data over model projections, with historical May averages near 40°C providing context. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event, limited to rare data revisions from official stations; resolution awaits final IMD bulletin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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