Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid point to a daily high near 22°C on May 17, anchoring the market's leading 45.5% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical mid-May conditions in central Spain, where seasonal averages range 21–24°C under stable high-pressure influence and moderate Atlantic flow, with limited risk of either stronger warming or cooler advection today. The close clustering around 21°C (21.5%) and 23°C (22.5%) captures the narrow uncertainty in official model runs, which show only minor variations from local wind shifts or cloud cover before evening. AEMET monitoring and final observational data will confirm the exact maximum, consistent with historical resolution patterns for such short-range temperature markets.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
22°C 44%
21°C 23%
23°C 22%
24°C 7%
НОВЕ
$11,536 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,536 Обс.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
23%
22°C
44%
23°C
22%
24°C
7%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 44%
21°C 23%
23°C 22%
24°C 7%
НОВЕ
$11,536 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,536 Обс.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
$1,678 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$1,041 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$1,135 Обс.
1%
20°C
$827 Обс.
4%
21°C
$1,949 Обс.
23%
22°C
$1,475 Обс.
44%
23°C
$1,082 Обс.
22%
24°C
$520 Обс.
7%
25°C
$491 Обс.
1%
26°C
$504 Обс.
<1%
27°C or higher
$890 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid point to a daily high near 22°C on May 17, anchoring the market's leading 45.5% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical mid-May conditions in central Spain, where seasonal averages range 21–24°C under stable high-pressure influence and moderate Atlantic flow, with limited risk of either stronger warming or cooler advection today. The close clustering around 21°C (21.5%) and 23°C (22.5%) captures the narrow uncertainty in official model runs, which show only minor variations from local wind shifts or cloud cover before evening. AEMET monitoring and final observational data will confirm the exact maximum, consistent with historical resolution patterns for such short-range temperature markets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,536Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid point to a daily high near 22°C on May 17, anchoring the market's leading 45.5% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical mid-May conditions in central Spain, where seasonal averages range 21–24°C under stable high-pressure influence and moderate Atlantic flow, with limited risk of either stronger warming or cooler advection today. The close clustering around 21°C (21.5%) and 23°C (22.5%) captures the narrow uncertainty in official model runs, which show only minor variations from local wind shifts or cloud cover before evening. AEMET monitoring and final observational data will confirm the exact maximum, consistent with historical resolution patterns for such short-range temperature markets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$11,536Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDCurrent meteorological forecasts for Madrid point to a daily high near 22°C on May 17, anchoring the market's leading 45.5% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical mid-May conditions in central Spain, where seasonal averages range 21–24°C under stable high-pressure influence and moderate Atlantic flow, with limited risk of either stronger warming or cooler advection today. The close clustering around 21°C (21.5%) and 23°C (22.5%) captures the narrow uncertainty in official model runs, which show only minor variations from local wind shifts or cloud cover before evening. AEMET monitoring and final observational data will confirm the exact maximum, consistent with historical resolution patterns for such short-range temperature markets.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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