Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) converge on a daytime maximum of 16°C for Paris on May 16, driven by persistent overcast skies, moderate northwesterly flow, and suppressed solar heating that keeps surface temperatures near the mid-May climatological mean. This strong model agreement underpins the market's near-certain pricing for 16°C as the peak, reflecting limited afternoon warming potential amid cool boundary-layer conditions. Official Météo-France observations at 18:00 local time will determine resolution, so traders are watching for any last-hour model adjustments or unexpected cloud breaks that could allow brief warming to 17°C or higher.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on May 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 16?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$154,999 Обс.
$154,999 Обс.
May 16, 2026
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$154,999 Обс.
$154,999 Обс.
May 16, 2026
16°C
$29,435 Обс.
100%
17°C
$31,992 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$10,666 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$3,855 Обс.
<1%
20°C or higher
$3,059 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) converge on a daytime maximum of 16°C for Paris on May 16, driven by persistent overcast skies, moderate northwesterly flow, and suppressed solar heating that keeps surface temperatures near the mid-May climatological mean. This strong model agreement underpins the market's near-certain pricing for 16°C as the peak, reflecting limited afternoon warming potential amid cool boundary-layer conditions. Official Météo-France observations at 18:00 local time will determine resolution, so traders are watching for any last-hour model adjustments or unexpected cloud breaks that could allow brief warming to 17°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$154,999Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) converge on a daytime maximum of 16°C for Paris on May 16, driven by persistent overcast skies, moderate northwesterly flow, and suppressed solar heating that keeps surface temperatures near the mid-May climatological mean. This strong model agreement underpins the market's near-certain pricing for 16°C as the peak, reflecting limited afternoon warming potential amid cool boundary-layer conditions. Official Météo-France observations at 18:00 local time will determine resolution, so traders are watching for any last-hour model adjustments or unexpected cloud breaks that could allow brief warming to 17°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$154,999Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) converge on a daytime maximum of 16°C for Paris on May 16, driven by persistent overcast skies, moderate northwesterly flow, and suppressed solar heating that keeps surface temperatures near the mid-May climatological mean. This strong model agreement underpins the market's near-certain pricing for 16°C as the peak, reflecting limited afternoon warming potential amid cool boundary-layer conditions. Official Météo-France observations at 18:00 local time will determine resolution, so traders are watching for any last-hour model adjustments or unexpected cloud breaks that could allow brief warming to 17°C or higher.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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