Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C in Shanghai today, driven by converged outputs from short-range weather models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside real-time observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau's Xujiahui station registering a midday peak of 26°C under partly cloudy conditions. Moderate southerly winds and elevated humidity have capped solar heating, aligning with early May climatology where daily highs average 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing 1–2°C of additional warming before sunset, but ensemble forecasts and current downward temperature trajectory render higher outcomes negligible, with official daily maximum confirmation pending evening reports.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 13?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 13?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$391,434 Обс.
$391,434 Обс.
May 13, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$391,434 Обс.
$391,434 Обс.
May 13, 2026
21°C or below
$7,689 Обс.
No
22°C
$9,853 Обс.
No
23°C
$46,552 Обс.
No
24°C
$48,912 Обс.
No
25°C
$44,704 Обс.
No
26°C
$47,324 Обс.
Yes
27°C
$52,323 Обс.
No
28°C
$39,560 Обс.
No
29°C
$32,563 Обс.
No
30°C
$27,599 Обс.
No
31°C or higher
$34,354 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C in Shanghai today, driven by converged outputs from short-range weather models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside real-time observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau's Xujiahui station registering a midday peak of 26°C under partly cloudy conditions. Moderate southerly winds and elevated humidity have capped solar heating, aligning with early May climatology where daily highs average 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing 1–2°C of additional warming before sunset, but ensemble forecasts and current downward temperature trajectory render higher outcomes negligible, with official daily maximum confirmation pending evening reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 11, 2026, 1:21 AM ET
Обсяг
$391,434Дата завершення
May 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 1:21 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C in Shanghai today, driven by converged outputs from short-range weather models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside real-time observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau's Xujiahui station registering a midday peak of 26°C under partly cloudy conditions. Moderate southerly winds and elevated humidity have capped solar heating, aligning with early May climatology where daily highs average 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing 1–2°C of additional warming before sunset, but ensemble forecasts and current downward temperature trajectory render higher outcomes negligible, with official daily maximum confirmation pending evening reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$391,434Дата завершення
May 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 1:21 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C in Shanghai today, driven by converged outputs from short-range weather models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside real-time observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau's Xujiahui station registering a midday peak of 26°C under partly cloudy conditions. Moderate southerly winds and elevated humidity have capped solar heating, aligning with early May climatology where daily highs average 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing 1–2°C of additional warming before sunset, but ensemble forecasts and current downward temperature trajectory render higher outcomes negligible, with official daily maximum confirmation pending evening reports.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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