Current partisan balance stands at 26 Republican governors to 24 Democratic ones ahead of the 36 races on the November 2026 ballot. Trader consensus clusters around modest net Republican losses because the midterm map includes multiple open seats created by term limits, several toss-up contests rated by Cook Political Report, and historical patterns in which the party holding the White House typically loses ground in off-year elections. Recent primary results and rating shifts, including moves toward Democrats in states such as Wisconsin, have reinforced expectations of a narrow range between 22 and 25 Republican governors. Separation in the market would most likely follow clearer signals from polling trends in the remaining competitive districts or late-cycle developments that alter turnout dynamics in battleground states.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоСкільки республіканських губернаторів після проміжних виборів 2026 року?
<22 30%
22–23 25%
26–27 21%
24–25 21%
$687,975 Обс.
$687,975 Обс.
<22
30%
22–23
25%
24–25
21%
26–27
21%
28–29
1%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
<22 30%
22–23 25%
26–27 21%
24–25 21%
$687,975 Обс.
$687,975 Обс.
<22
30%
22–23
25%
24–25
21%
26–27
21%
28–29
1%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Current partisan balance stands at 26 Republican governors to 24 Democratic ones ahead of the 36 races on the November 2026 ballot. Trader consensus clusters around modest net Republican losses because the midterm map includes multiple open seats created by term limits, several toss-up contests rated by Cook Political Report, and historical patterns in which the party holding the White House typically loses ground in off-year elections. Recent primary results and rating shifts, including moves toward Democrats in states such as Wisconsin, have reinforced expectations of a narrow range between 22 and 25 Republican governors. Separation in the market would most likely follow clearer signals from polling trends in the remaining competitive districts or late-cycle developments that alter turnout dynamics in battleground states.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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