Trader consensus prices a tight contest for Republican governorships post-2026 midterms, with 22–23 seats at 33.5% narrowly leading 24–25 at 29.5%, reflecting expectations of modest net losses from the current 26 held by Republicans amid 36 races including 18 each defending. Recent shifts in forecasts, such as Arizona tilting Lean Democrat and Georgia to Toss-up per Sabato's Crystal Ball in March, alongside Vivek Ramaswamy's dominant Ohio Republican primary win earlier this week, underscore volatility in battlegrounds like Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and open seats in Florida and Kansas. Upcoming May 19 primaries in Pennsylvania and Oregon could solidify nominees and clarify paths, while national midterm dynamics, polling trends in swing states, and economic conditions remain key separators in this evenly split map with nine Republican and six Democratic term-limited incumbents.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоСкільки республіканських губернаторів після проміжних виборів 2026 року?
Скільки республіканських губернаторів після проміжних виборів 2026 року?
22–23 34%
24–25 30%
26–27 18%
<22 14%
$667,310 Обс.
$667,310 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
<22
14%
22–23
34%
24–25
30%
26–27
18%
28–29
7%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
22–23 34%
24–25 30%
26–27 18%
<22 14%
$667,310 Обс.
$667,310 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
<22
$45,042 Обс.
14%
22–23
$5,780 Обс.
34%
24–25
$30,016 Обс.
30%
26–27
$14,093 Обс.
18%
28–29
$553,880 Обс.
7%
30–31
$5,551 Обс.
1%
32+
$12,947 Обс.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a tight contest for Republican governorships post-2026 midterms, with 22–23 seats at 33.5% narrowly leading 24–25 at 29.5%, reflecting expectations of modest net losses from the current 26 held by Republicans amid 36 races including 18 each defending. Recent shifts in forecasts, such as Arizona tilting Lean Democrat and Georgia to Toss-up per Sabato's Crystal Ball in March, alongside Vivek Ramaswamy's dominant Ohio Republican primary win earlier this week, underscore volatility in battlegrounds like Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and open seats in Florida and Kansas. Upcoming May 19 primaries in Pennsylvania and Oregon could solidify nominees and clarify paths, while national midterm dynamics, polling trends in swing states, and economic conditions remain key separators in this evenly split map with nine Republican and six Democratic term-limited incumbents.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Обсяг
$667,310Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a tight contest for Republican governorships post-2026 midterms, with 22–23 seats at 33.5% narrowly leading 24–25 at 29.5%, reflecting expectations of modest net losses from the current 26 held by Republicans amid 36 races including 18 each defending. Recent shifts in forecasts, such as Arizona tilting Lean Democrat and Georgia to Toss-up per Sabato's Crystal Ball in March, alongside Vivek Ramaswamy's dominant Ohio Republican primary win earlier this week, underscore volatility in battlegrounds like Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and open seats in Florida and Kansas. Upcoming May 19 primaries in Pennsylvania and Oregon could solidify nominees and clarify paths, while national midterm dynamics, polling trends in swing states, and economic conditions remain key separators in this evenly split map with nine Republican and six Democratic term-limited incumbents.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$667,310Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a tight contest for Republican governorships post-2026 midterms, with 22–23 seats at 33.5% narrowly leading 24–25 at 29.5%, reflecting expectations of modest net losses from the current 26 held by Republicans amid 36 races including 18 each defending. Recent shifts in forecasts, such as Arizona tilting Lean Democrat and Georgia to Toss-up per Sabato's Crystal Ball in March, alongside Vivek Ramaswamy's dominant Ohio Republican primary win earlier this week, underscore volatility in battlegrounds like Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and open seats in Florida and Kansas. Upcoming May 19 primaries in Pennsylvania and Oregon could solidify nominees and clarify paths, while national midterm dynamics, polling trends in swing states, and economic conditions remain key separators in this evenly split map with nine Republican and six Democratic term-limited incumbents.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання