Skip to main content
icon for Lowest temperature in London on May 14?

Lowest temperature in London on May 14?

icon for Lowest temperature in London on May 14?

Lowest temperature in London on May 14?

8°C 100.0%

1°C or below <1%

2°C <1%

3°C <1%

Polymarket

$11,526 Обс.

8°C 100.0%

1°C or below <1%

2°C <1%

3°C <1%

Polymarket

$11,526 Обс.

1°C or below

$396 Обс.

No

2°C

$575 Обс.

No

3°C

$551 Обс.

No

4°C

$658 Обс.

No

5°C

$1,281 Обс.

No

6°C

$937 Обс.

No

7°C

$844 Обс.

No

8°C

$2,773 Обс.

Yes

9°C

$783 Обс.

No

10°C

$646 Обс.

No

11°C or higher

$2,083 Обс.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations for London stations, including Greater London and nearby references like Heathrow, confirm a minimum screen temperature of 8°C on May 14, 2026, primarily recorded during early morning hours amid persistent low cloud cover and light northerly winds that suppressed radiative cooling overnight. Hourly data shows temperatures stabilizing around 7–9°C pre-dawn after evening readings in the mid-teens Celsius, aligning with forecast model consensus from the UKV and ECMWF ensembles predicting mild lows for urban London under these synoptic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 8°C reflects this verified data from authoritative sources, with historical May norms (average min ~9°C) providing further context. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc revision from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked rural station reading below 7°C, though urban heat island effects and cloud insulation make sub-6°C unlikely.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$11,526
Дата завершення
May 14, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations for London stations, including Greater London and nearby references like Heathrow, confirm a minimum screen temperature of 8°C on May 14, 2026, primarily recorded during early morning hours amid persistent low cloud cover and light northerly winds that suppressed radiative cooling overnight. Hourly data shows temperatures stabilizing around 7–9°C pre-dawn after evening readings in the mid-teens Celsius, aligning with forecast model consensus from the UKV and ECMWF ensembles predicting mild lows for urban London under these synoptic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 8°C reflects this verified data from authoritative sources, with historical May norms (average min ~9°C) providing further context. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc revision from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked rural station reading below 7°C, though urban heat island effects and cloud insulation make sub-6°C unlikely.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$11,526
Дата завершення
May 14, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in London on May 14?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «8°C» з 100%, далі «1°C or below» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Lowest temperature in London on May 14?» згенерував $11.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 11, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in London on May 14?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in London on May 14?» — «8°C» з 100%. Наступний — «1°C or below» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in London on May 14?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.