Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park (KNYC) automated station recorded New York City's daily minimum temperature of 54°F on May 13, 2026, as confirmed in the preliminary daily climate report issued late that day, driving the market-implied 100% probability on the 54-55°F outcome. Hourly data showed consistent overnight readings around 54-55°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-dawn minima typical for mid-May in the region, where climatological normals average 54°F. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified ASOS measurements, with negligible risk of revision barring rare sensor anomalies or quality-control adjustments, expected to finalize within 24-48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on May 13?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 13?
54-55°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$18,446 Обс.
$18,446 Обс.
May 13, 2026
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
Yes
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
54-55°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$18,446 Обс.
$18,446 Обс.
May 13, 2026
43°F or below
$1,320 Обс.
No
44-45°F
$2,001 Обс.
No
46-47°F
$1,484 Обс.
No
48-49°F
$1,668 Обс.
No
50-51°F
$1,373 Обс.
No
52-53°F
$2,033 Обс.
No
54-55°F
$5,120 Обс.
Yes
56-57°F
$849 Обс.
No
58-59°F
$542 Обс.
No
60-61°F
$1,237 Обс.
No
62°F or higher
$818 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park (KNYC) automated station recorded New York City's daily minimum temperature of 54°F on May 13, 2026, as confirmed in the preliminary daily climate report issued late that day, driving the market-implied 100% probability on the 54-55°F outcome. Hourly data showed consistent overnight readings around 54-55°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-dawn minima typical for mid-May in the region, where climatological normals average 54°F. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified ASOS measurements, with negligible risk of revision barring rare sensor anomalies or quality-control adjustments, expected to finalize within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,446Дата завершення
May 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park (KNYC) automated station recorded New York City's daily minimum temperature of 54°F on May 13, 2026, as confirmed in the preliminary daily climate report issued late that day, driving the market-implied 100% probability on the 54-55°F outcome. Hourly data showed consistent overnight readings around 54-55°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-dawn minima typical for mid-May in the region, where climatological normals average 54°F. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified ASOS measurements, with negligible risk of revision barring rare sensor anomalies or quality-control adjustments, expected to finalize within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$18,446Дата завершення
May 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park (KNYC) automated station recorded New York City's daily minimum temperature of 54°F on May 13, 2026, as confirmed in the preliminary daily climate report issued late that day, driving the market-implied 100% probability on the 54-55°F outcome. Hourly data showed consistent overnight readings around 54-55°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-dawn minima typical for mid-May in the region, where climatological normals average 54°F. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified ASOS measurements, with negligible risk of revision barring rare sensor anomalies or quality-control adjustments, expected to finalize within 24-48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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