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Вибори·Первинні

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Вибори·Первинні

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Stefany Shaheen 59%

Maura Sullivan 25%

Carleigh Beriont 7%

Heath Howard 6.0%

Polymarket

$14,029 Обс.

Stefany Shaheen 59%

Maura Sullivan 25%

Carleigh Beriont 7%

Heath Howard 6.0%

Polymarket

$14,029 Обс.

Stefany Shaheen

$8,541 Обс.

59%

Maura Sullivan

$3,543 Обс.

26%

Carleigh Beriont

$1,448 Обс.

7%

Heath Howard

$498 Обс.

17%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 58.5% implied probability, reflecting her consistent polling lead—around 23-26% in recent surveys—bolstered by endorsements from every Democratic mayor in the district and strong first-quarter fundraising exceeding $500,000. Maura Sullivan trails at 31.5%, buoyed by her top fundraising totals as a Marine veteran and prior candidate, positioning her as the chief challenger in this open seat race after incumbent Chris Pappas shifted to the Senate primary. Heath Howard's 20.9% share has risen amid recent media focus on his progressive stances, including pro-Palestinian advocacy, while Carleigh Beriont lags at 7% despite selectboard experience. Upcoming candidate forums and further polls could shift dynamics in this competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$14,029
Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 58.5% implied probability, reflecting her consistent polling lead—around 23-26% in recent surveys—bolstered by endorsements from every Democratic mayor in the district and strong first-quarter fundraising exceeding $500,000. Maura Sullivan trails at 31.5%, buoyed by her top fundraising totals as a Marine veteran and prior candidate, positioning her as the chief challenger in this open seat race after incumbent Chris Pappas shifted to the Senate primary. Heath Howard's 20.9% share has risen amid recent media focus on his progressive stances, including pro-Palestinian advocacy, while Carleigh Beriont lags at 7% despite selectboard experience. Upcoming candidate forums and further polls could shift dynamics in this competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$14,029
Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Stefany Shaheen» з 59%, далі «Maura Sullivan» з 26%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $14K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 25, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Stefany Shaheen» з 59%. Наступний — «Maura Sullivan» з 26%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.