Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daily maximum of 36°C for Chengdu on August 13, 2026, under prevailing summer subtropical high-pressure patterns that favor clear skies and strong insolation. This aligns with historical mid-August climatology for the Sichuan basin, where temperatures commonly peak near 34–37°C amid high humidity. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in these consensus runs, which incorporate surface observations and ensemble data showing limited variability. A sudden influx of monsoon moisture or thicker cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, while an unforecast heat surge might push readings higher, though current guidance indicates low probability of either shift before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日成都最高溫度？
8月13日成都最高溫度？
36°C 100.0%
32°C或以下 <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$55,957 交易量
$55,957 交易量
2026-08-13
32°C或以下
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
是
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C
否
41°C
否
42°C或以上
否
36°C 100.0%
32°C或以下 <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$55,957 交易量
$55,957 交易量
2026-08-13
32°C或以下
$7,488 交易量
否
33°C
$3,386 交易量
否
34°C
$6,644 交易量
否
35°C
$7,288 交易量
否
36°C
$6,477 交易量
是
37°C
$10,515 交易量
否
38°C
$5,639 交易量
否
39°C
$4,028 交易量
否
40°C
$3,063 交易量
否
41°C
$937 交易量
否
42°C或以上
$493 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daily maximum of 36°C for Chengdu on August 13, 2026, under prevailing summer subtropical high-pressure patterns that favor clear skies and strong insolation. This aligns with historical mid-August climatology for the Sichuan basin, where temperatures commonly peak near 34–37°C amid high humidity. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in these consensus runs, which incorporate surface observations and ensemble data showing limited variability. A sudden influx of monsoon moisture or thicker cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, while an unforecast heat surge might push readings higher, though current guidance indicates low probability of either shift before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$55,957結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daily maximum of 36°C for Chengdu on August 13, 2026, under prevailing summer subtropical high-pressure patterns that favor clear skies and strong insolation. This aligns with historical mid-August climatology for the Sichuan basin, where temperatures commonly peak near 34–37°C amid high humidity. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in these consensus runs, which incorporate surface observations and ensemble data showing limited variability. A sudden influx of monsoon moisture or thicker cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, while an unforecast heat surge might push readings higher, though current guidance indicates low probability of either shift before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$55,957結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daily maximum of 36°C for Chengdu on August 13, 2026, under prevailing summer subtropical high-pressure patterns that favor clear skies and strong insolation. This aligns with historical mid-August climatology for the Sichuan basin, where temperatures commonly peak near 34–37°C amid high humidity. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in these consensus runs, which incorporate surface observations and ensemble data showing limited variability. A sudden influx of monsoon moisture or thicker cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, while an unforecast heat surge might push readings higher, though current guidance indicates low probability of either shift before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions