Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Milan's June 16 maximum near 30°C amid stable high pressure and light easterly flow, producing the near-even 36% and 35.5% market shares for 29°C and 30°C. Subtle differences in daytime boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat-island effects, and slight model spread in 850 hPa temperatures separate these two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ reflect limited upside potential if insolation or downslope warming exceeds current guidance. Official Italian Meteorological Service observations and the next model runs will resolve the narrow range before Tuesday's peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on June 16?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 16?
29°C 37%
30°C 36%
28°C 13%
31°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
27°C or below
2%
28°C
13%
29°C
37%
30°C
36%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
30°C 36%
28°C 13%
31°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
27°C or below
$1,463 交易量
2%
28°C
$704 交易量
13%
29°C
$264 交易量
37%
30°C
$120 交易量
36%
31°C
$49 交易量
8%
32°C
$4 交易量
2%
33°C
$129 交易量
1%
34°C
$87 交易量
<1%
35°C
$578 交易量
<1%
36°C
$425 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$456 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Milan's June 16 maximum near 30°C amid stable high pressure and light easterly flow, producing the near-even 36% and 35.5% market shares for 29°C and 30°C. Subtle differences in daytime boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat-island effects, and slight model spread in 850 hPa temperatures separate these two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ reflect limited upside potential if insolation or downslope warming exceeds current guidance. Official Italian Meteorological Service observations and the next model runs will resolve the narrow range before Tuesday's peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$4,125結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Milan's June 16 maximum near 30°C amid stable high pressure and light easterly flow, producing the near-even 36% and 35.5% market shares for 29°C and 30°C. Subtle differences in daytime boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat-island effects, and slight model spread in 850 hPa temperatures separate these two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ reflect limited upside potential if insolation or downslope warming exceeds current guidance. Official Italian Meteorological Service observations and the next model runs will resolve the narrow range before Tuesday's peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,125結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Milan's June 16 maximum near 30°C amid stable high pressure and light easterly flow, producing the near-even 36% and 35.5% market shares for 29°C and 30°C. Subtle differences in daytime boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat-island effects, and slight model spread in 850 hPa temperatures separate these two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ reflect limited upside potential if insolation or downslope warming exceeds current guidance. Official Italian Meteorological Service observations and the next model runs will resolve the narrow range before Tuesday's peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions