Recent forecast model runs from major centers show Moscow overnight lows on August 25 clustering between 11–14 °C under variable cloud cover and light winds, driving the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around those values. Traders weigh differences in expected nocturnal radiative cooling, with clearer skies and calmer conditions favoring the lower end (9–11 °C) while increased cloudiness or modest advection of warmer air would support 13–15 °C readings. Late-August climatology places typical minimums near 12–13 °C, providing a baseline that market participants adjust based on the latest ensemble guidance and any shifts in the regional pressure pattern before the minimum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日莫斯科最低溫度？
8月25日莫斯科最低溫度？
15°C 47%
10°C 28%
11°C 28%
13°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
8°C or below
1%
9°C
25%
10°C
28%
11°C
28%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
47%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
15°C 47%
10°C 28%
11°C 28%
13°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
8°C or below
$199 交易量
1%
9°C
$236 交易量
25%
10°C
$0 交易量
28%
11°C
$0 交易量
28%
12°C
$0 交易量
27%
13°C
$0 交易量
28%
14°C
$20 交易量
27%
15°C
$5 交易量
47%
16°C
$5 交易量
2%
17°C
$150 交易量
<1%
18°C or higher
$145 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from major centers show Moscow overnight lows on August 25 clustering between 11–14 °C under variable cloud cover and light winds, driving the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around those values. Traders weigh differences in expected nocturnal radiative cooling, with clearer skies and calmer conditions favoring the lower end (9–11 °C) while increased cloudiness or modest advection of warmer air would support 13–15 °C readings. Late-August climatology places typical minimums near 12–13 °C, providing a baseline that market participants adjust based on the latest ensemble guidance and any shifts in the regional pressure pattern before the minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$760結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from major centers show Moscow overnight lows on August 25 clustering between 11–14 °C under variable cloud cover and light winds, driving the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around those values. Traders weigh differences in expected nocturnal radiative cooling, with clearer skies and calmer conditions favoring the lower end (9–11 °C) while increased cloudiness or modest advection of warmer air would support 13–15 °C readings. Late-August climatology places typical minimums near 12–13 °C, providing a baseline that market participants adjust based on the latest ensemble guidance and any shifts in the regional pressure pattern before the minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$760結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from major centers show Moscow overnight lows on August 25 clustering between 11–14 °C under variable cloud cover and light winds, driving the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around those values. Traders weigh differences in expected nocturnal radiative cooling, with clearer skies and calmer conditions favoring the lower end (9–11 °C) while increased cloudiness or modest advection of warmer air would support 13–15 °C readings. Late-August climatology places typical minimums near 12–13 °C, providing a baseline that market participants adjust based on the latest ensemble guidance and any shifts in the regional pressure pattern before the minimum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions