Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai will likely see overnight lows of 26–28°C on August 27, supporting the near-even market split between 27°C and 28°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure and southeasterly flow maintain warm, humid conditions with limited radiative cooling, while scattered cloud cover and light rain chances (15–50% in some runs) could modestly suppress the minimum. Historical late-August climatology shows typical overnight lows near 26–27°C, and current model consensus shows no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative scenarios that would push readings to 25°C or below. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日上海最低溫度?
28°C 43%
27°C 34%
26°C 18%
25°C 11%
23°C or below
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
11%
26°C
18%
27°C
34%
28°C
43%
29°C
11%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 43%
27°C 34%
26°C 18%
25°C 11%
23°C or below
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
11%
26°C
18%
27°C
34%
28°C
43%
29°C
11%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai will likely see overnight lows of 26–28°C on August 27, supporting the near-even market split between 27°C and 28°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure and southeasterly flow maintain warm, humid conditions with limited radiative cooling, while scattered cloud cover and light rain chances (15–50% in some runs) could modestly suppress the minimum. Historical late-August climatology shows typical overnight lows near 26–27°C, and current model consensus shows no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative scenarios that would push readings to 25°C or below. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions