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政治·中期

阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者

icon for 阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者
政治·中期

阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者

汤姆·贝吉奇 38%

伯纳黛特·威尔逊 25%

乔纳森·克赖斯-汤金斯 11.4%

特雷格·泰勒 10.1%

Polymarket

$972,541 交易量

汤姆·贝吉奇 38%

伯纳黛特·威尔逊 25%

乔纳森·克赖斯-汤金斯 11.4%

特雷格·泰勒 10.1%

Polymarket

$972,541 交易量

icon for 汤姆·贝吉奇

汤姆·贝吉奇

$115,001 交易量

38%

icon for 伯纳黛特·威尔逊

伯纳黛特·威尔逊

$151,088 交易量

25%

icon for 乔纳森·克赖斯-汤金斯

乔纳森·克赖斯-汤金斯

$7,305 交易量

11%

icon for 特雷格·泰勒

特雷格·泰勒

$19,709 交易量

10%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$9,212 交易量

7%

icon for 南希·达尔斯特伦姆

南希·达尔斯特伦姆

$117,091 交易量

6%

icon for 大卫·布朗森

大卫·布朗森

$10,684 交易量

5%

icon for 马特·海拉拉

马特·海拉拉

$29,625 交易量

1%

icon for 亚当·克拉姆

亚当·克拉姆

$39,155 交易量

1%

icon for 玛丽·佩尔托拉

玛丽·佩尔托拉

$324,702 交易量

<1%

icon for 马特·克莱曼

马特·克莱曼

$5,573 交易量

<1%

icon for 詹姆斯·帕金

詹姆斯·帕金

$104,135 交易量

<1%

icon for 埃德娜·德弗里斯

埃德娜·德弗里斯

$8,271 交易量

<1%

icon for 雪莉·休斯

雪莉·休斯

$9,044 交易量

<1%

icon for 丽莎·穆尔科斯基

丽莎·穆尔科斯基

$13,874 交易量

<1%

icon for 汉克·克罗尔

汉克·克罗尔

$3,314 交易量

<1%

icon for 布鲁斯·沃尔登

布鲁斯·沃尔登

$4,756 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent polling from late April has positioned Democrat Tom Begich as the frontrunner in Alaska’s open 2026 gubernatorial race, driving his 38% market share ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson at 24.5%. A nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 and ranked-choice voting in the general election favor Begich’s broader appeal, as shown in simulations where he reaches 54% against Wilson. The crowded Republican field—including Treg Taylor, Click Bishop, Nancy Dahlstrom, and David Bronson—fragments support and sustains vote-splitting. Fundraising reports confirm Begich’s strong early hauls from Alaskan donors, while Mary Peltola’s Senate bid cleared the Democratic lane. These factors shape trader consensus on advancement and general-election viability.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
交易量
$972,541
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent polling from late April has positioned Democrat Tom Begich as the frontrunner in Alaska’s open 2026 gubernatorial race, driving his 38% market share ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson at 24.5%. A nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 and ranked-choice voting in the general election favor Begich’s broader appeal, as shown in simulations where he reaches 54% against Wilson. The crowded Republican field—including Treg Taylor, Click Bishop, Nancy Dahlstrom, and David Bronson—fragments support and sustains vote-splitting. Fundraising reports confirm Begich’s strong early hauls from Alaskan donors, while Mary Peltola’s Senate bid cleared the Democratic lane. These factors shape trader consensus on advancement and general-election viability.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
交易量
$972,541
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者 "是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 17 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"汤姆·贝吉奇"，概率为 38%，其次是"伯纳黛特·威尔逊"，概率为 25%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 38¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 38%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者 "已产生 $972.5K 的总交易量（自Oct 13, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者 "上交易，浏览本页上列出的 17 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者 "的当前领先者是"汤姆·贝吉奇"，概率为 38%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 38%。紧随其后的结果是"伯纳黛特·威尔逊"，概率为 25%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者 "的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。