Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 15°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This matched pre-event SMN forecasts of mild autumn conditions under partly cloudy skies and a cool air mass from the south, which capped daytime heating below the seasonal average high of around 18°C. Persistent cloud cover and light winds limited solar insolation, preventing any surge toward 16°C or higher. While final data validation is routine, a realistic challenge would require evidence of sensor malfunction or overlooked peak readings during quality control review, though such revisions are exceedingly rare for established stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 13?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 13?
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$61,365 交易量
$61,365 交易量
2026-05-13
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$61,365 交易量
$61,365 交易量
2026-05-13
12°C or below
$6,378 交易量
No
13°C
$5,613 交易量
No
14°C
$5,057 交易量
No
15°C
$8,398 交易量
Yes
16°C
$4,537 交易量
No
17°C
$4,294 交易量
No
18°C
$6,309 交易量
No
19°C
$6,162 交易量
No
20°C
$5,041 交易量
No
21°C
$4,470 交易量
No
22°C or higher
$5,105 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 15°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This matched pre-event SMN forecasts of mild autumn conditions under partly cloudy skies and a cool air mass from the south, which capped daytime heating below the seasonal average high of around 18°C. Persistent cloud cover and light winds limited solar insolation, preventing any surge toward 16°C or higher. While final data validation is routine, a realistic challenge would require evidence of sensor malfunction or overlooked peak readings during quality control review, though such revisions are exceedingly rare for established stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$61,365结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 15°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This matched pre-event SMN forecasts of mild autumn conditions under partly cloudy skies and a cool air mass from the south, which capped daytime heating below the seasonal average high of around 18°C. Persistent cloud cover and light winds limited solar insolation, preventing any surge toward 16°C or higher. While final data validation is routine, a realistic challenge would require evidence of sensor malfunction or overlooked peak readings during quality control review, though such revisions are exceedingly rare for established stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$61,365结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 15°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This matched pre-event SMN forecasts of mild autumn conditions under partly cloudy skies and a cool air mass from the south, which capped daytime heating below the seasonal average high of around 18°C. Persistent cloud cover and light winds limited solar insolation, preventing any surge toward 16°C or higher. While final data validation is routine, a realistic challenge would require evidence of sensor malfunction or overlooked peak readings during quality control review, though such revisions are exceedingly rare for established stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题