National Weather Service forecasts and aligned GFS and ECMWF model ensembles project Denver's highest temperature on May 15 at around 85°F under mostly sunny skies, driving the market-implied 99.6% probability for 74°F or higher as traders price in a persistent upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promoting warm air subsidence, light winds, and minimal cloud interference. Today's observed high near 87°F amid an ongoing heat wave—well above May climatological averages of 75–78°F—bolsters this consensus, with observational data from Denver International Airport reinforcing model guidance. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like unexpected afternoon cloud development or a weak shortwave disturbance could temper highs to the low 70s, though current runs show low likelihood; monitor evening NWS updates for refinements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on May 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 15?
74°F or higher 99.6%
72-73°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
最新
$45,732 交易量
最新
$45,732 交易量
2026-05-15
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
100%
74°F or higher 99.6%
72-73°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
最新
$45,732 交易量
最新
$45,732 交易量
2026-05-15
55°F or below
$16,960 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$3,554 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$2,032 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$2,160 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$1,873 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$1,919 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$2,620 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$2,193 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$2,217 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$4,461 交易量
1%
74°F or higher
$5,742 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and aligned GFS and ECMWF model ensembles project Denver's highest temperature on May 15 at around 85°F under mostly sunny skies, driving the market-implied 99.6% probability for 74°F or higher as traders price in a persistent upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promoting warm air subsidence, light winds, and minimal cloud interference. Today's observed high near 87°F amid an ongoing heat wave—well above May climatological averages of 75–78°F—bolsters this consensus, with observational data from Denver International Airport reinforcing model guidance. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like unexpected afternoon cloud development or a weak shortwave disturbance could temper highs to the low 70s, though current runs show low likelihood; monitor evening NWS updates for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
交易量
$45,732结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and aligned GFS and ECMWF model ensembles project Denver's highest temperature on May 15 at around 85°F under mostly sunny skies, driving the market-implied 99.6% probability for 74°F or higher as traders price in a persistent upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promoting warm air subsidence, light winds, and minimal cloud interference. Today's observed high near 87°F amid an ongoing heat wave—well above May climatological averages of 75–78°F—bolsters this consensus, with observational data from Denver International Airport reinforcing model guidance. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like unexpected afternoon cloud development or a weak shortwave disturbance could temper highs to the low 70s, though current runs show low likelihood; monitor evening NWS updates for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$45,732结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and aligned GFS and ECMWF model ensembles project Denver's highest temperature on May 15 at around 85°F under mostly sunny skies, driving the market-implied 99.6% probability for 74°F or higher as traders price in a persistent upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promoting warm air subsidence, light winds, and minimal cloud interference. Today's observed high near 87°F amid an ongoing heat wave—well above May climatological averages of 75–78°F—bolsters this consensus, with observational data from Denver International Airport reinforcing model guidance. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like unexpected afternoon cloud development or a weak shortwave disturbance could temper highs to the low 70s, though current runs show low likelihood; monitor evening NWS updates for refinements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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