Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada confirm Toronto's highest temperature on May 14 reached 11°C at primary reporting stations like Toronto Pearson International Airport, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Leading forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and global models (GFS, ECMWF) had converged on cool conditions driven by a deep upper-level trough ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers that suppressed daytime heating—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. This alignment underscores the wisdom of crowds in aggregating forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges are rare but could include official data revisions from measurement anomalies or station-specific discrepancies, with final daily climate summaries expected to verify.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月14日多伦多气温最高？
5月14日多伦多气温最高？
11°C 100.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$153,714 交易量
$153,714 交易量
2026-05-14
4°C或以下
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
是
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C或更高
否
11°C 100.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$153,714 交易量
$153,714 交易量
2026-05-14
4°C或以下
$4,362 交易量
否
5°C
$1,345 交易量
否
6°C
$2,630 交易量
否
7°C
$1,530 交易量
否
8°C
$9,692 交易量
否
9°C
$38,286 交易量
否
10°C
$43,001 交易量
否
11°C
$14,611 交易量
是
12°C
$14,383 交易量
否
13°C
$9,352 交易量
否
14°C或更高
$14,523 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada confirm Toronto's highest temperature on May 14 reached 11°C at primary reporting stations like Toronto Pearson International Airport, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Leading forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and global models (GFS, ECMWF) had converged on cool conditions driven by a deep upper-level trough ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers that suppressed daytime heating—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. This alignment underscores the wisdom of crowds in aggregating forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges are rare but could include official data revisions from measurement anomalies or station-specific discrepancies, with final daily climate summaries expected to verify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$153,714结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada confirm Toronto's highest temperature on May 14 reached 11°C at primary reporting stations like Toronto Pearson International Airport, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Leading forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and global models (GFS, ECMWF) had converged on cool conditions driven by a deep upper-level trough ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers that suppressed daytime heating—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. This alignment underscores the wisdom of crowds in aggregating forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges are rare but could include official data revisions from measurement anomalies or station-specific discrepancies, with final daily climate summaries expected to verify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$153,714结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada confirm Toronto's highest temperature on May 14 reached 11°C at primary reporting stations like Toronto Pearson International Airport, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Leading forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and global models (GFS, ECMWF) had converged on cool conditions driven by a deep upper-level trough ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers that suppressed daytime heating—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. This alignment underscores the wisdom of crowds in aggregating forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges are rare but could include official data revisions from measurement anomalies or station-specific discrepancies, with final daily climate summaries expected to verify.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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