Official observations from Milano Malpensa International Airport (LIMC), the market's resolution source via Wunderground METAR data, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 18°C on May 14, 2026—equivalent to a 64°F high—aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a low-pressure system over northern Italy suppressed daytime heating, keeping conditions below the climatological May average of around 22°C despite brief morning clears near 12°C lows at nearby Linate. Pre-event forecasts from Italy's Aeronautica Militare and UK Met Office accurately predicted this peak amid overcast skies. Post-resolution, only an unlikely data revision—ignored per market rules—could challenge this outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on May 14?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$71,755 交易量
$71,755 交易量
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$71,755 交易量
$71,755 交易量
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Milano Malpensa International Airport (LIMC), the market's resolution source via Wunderground METAR data, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 18°C on May 14, 2026—equivalent to a 64°F high—aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a low-pressure system over northern Italy suppressed daytime heating, keeping conditions below the climatological May average of around 22°C despite brief morning clears near 12°C lows at nearby Linate. Pre-event forecasts from Italy's Aeronautica Militare and UK Met Office accurately predicted this peak amid overcast skies. Post-resolution, only an unlikely data revision—ignored per market rules—could challenge this outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题