Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a daily maximum of 29°C in Shanghai on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent overcast conditions, light rain, and high humidity that suppress solar heating and limit daytime warming. These atmospheric factors align with observed highs near 28–29°C in recent days and model consensus showing minimal intensification potential before evening cooling. Trader consensus reflects this strong scientific alignment, with 29°C at near-certain implied probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or revised model runs that allow greater insolation, though current data show low likelihood of exceeding or falling short of this narrow range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日上海气温最高？
8月13日上海气温最高？
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$110,789 交易量
$110,789 交易量
2026-08-13
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$110,789 交易量
$110,789 交易量
2026-08-13
24°C or below
$2,482 交易量
No
25°C
$4,234 交易量
No
26°C
$7,711 交易量
No
27°C
$17,105 交易量
No
28°C
$23,215 交易量
No
29°C
$19,054 交易量
Yes
30°C
$19,236 交易量
No
31°C
$13,068 交易量
No
32°C
$2,866 交易量
No
33°C
$945 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$871 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a daily maximum of 29°C in Shanghai on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent overcast conditions, light rain, and high humidity that suppress solar heating and limit daytime warming. These atmospheric factors align with observed highs near 28–29°C in recent days and model consensus showing minimal intensification potential before evening cooling. Trader consensus reflects this strong scientific alignment, with 29°C at near-certain implied probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or revised model runs that allow greater insolation, though current data show low likelihood of exceeding or falling short of this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$110,789结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a daily maximum of 29°C in Shanghai on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent overcast conditions, light rain, and high humidity that suppress solar heating and limit daytime warming. These atmospheric factors align with observed highs near 28–29°C in recent days and model consensus showing minimal intensification potential before evening cooling. Trader consensus reflects this strong scientific alignment, with 29°C at near-certain implied probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or revised model runs that allow greater insolation, though current data show low likelihood of exceeding or falling short of this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$110,789结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a daily maximum of 29°C in Shanghai on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent overcast conditions, light rain, and high humidity that suppress solar heating and limit daytime warming. These atmospheric factors align with observed highs near 28–29°C in recent days and model consensus showing minimal intensification potential before evening cooling. Trader consensus reflects this strong scientific alignment, with 29°C at near-certain implied probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or revised model runs that allow greater insolation, though current data show low likelihood of exceeding or falling short of this narrow range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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