Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park (KNYC) automated station recorded New York City's daily minimum temperature of 54°F on May 13, 2026, as confirmed in the preliminary daily climate report issued late that day, driving the market-implied 100% probability on the 54-55°F outcome. Hourly data showed consistent overnight readings around 54-55°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-dawn minima typical for mid-May in the region, where climatological normals average 54°F. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified ASOS measurements, with negligible risk of revision barring rare sensor anomalies or quality-control adjustments, expected to finalize within 24-48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in NYC on May 13?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 13?
54-55°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$18,446 交易量
$18,446 交易量
2026-05-13
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
Yes
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
54-55°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$18,446 交易量
$18,446 交易量
2026-05-13
43°F or below
$1,320 交易量
No
44-45°F
$2,001 交易量
No
46-47°F
$1,484 交易量
No
48-49°F
$1,668 交易量
No
50-51°F
$1,373 交易量
No
52-53°F
$2,033 交易量
No
54-55°F
$5,120 交易量
Yes
56-57°F
$849 交易量
No
58-59°F
$542 交易量
No
60-61°F
$1,237 交易量
No
62°F or higher
$818 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park (KNYC) automated station recorded New York City's daily minimum temperature of 54°F on May 13, 2026, as confirmed in the preliminary daily climate report issued late that day, driving the market-implied 100% probability on the 54-55°F outcome. Hourly data showed consistent overnight readings around 54-55°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-dawn minima typical for mid-May in the region, where climatological normals average 54°F. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified ASOS measurements, with negligible risk of revision barring rare sensor anomalies or quality-control adjustments, expected to finalize within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$18,446结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park (KNYC) automated station recorded New York City's daily minimum temperature of 54°F on May 13, 2026, as confirmed in the preliminary daily climate report issued late that day, driving the market-implied 100% probability on the 54-55°F outcome. Hourly data showed consistent overnight readings around 54-55°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-dawn minima typical for mid-May in the region, where climatological normals average 54°F. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified ASOS measurements, with negligible risk of revision barring rare sensor anomalies or quality-control adjustments, expected to finalize within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$18,446结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park (KNYC) automated station recorded New York City's daily minimum temperature of 54°F on May 13, 2026, as confirmed in the preliminary daily climate report issued late that day, driving the market-implied 100% probability on the 54-55°F outcome. Hourly data showed consistent overnight readings around 54-55°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-dawn minima typical for mid-May in the region, where climatological normals average 54°F. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified ASOS measurements, with negligible risk of revision barring rare sensor anomalies or quality-control adjustments, expected to finalize within 24-48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题