Recent primary results and fundraising dynamics are shaping trader views in the November 2026 special election to fill the Senate seat vacated by Vice President J.D. Vance. Former Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown secured 92 percent of the Democratic primary vote on May 5 amid elevated turnout, while appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted advanced unopposed. Polls since April, including those averaged by RealClearPolitics, show Husted holding a narrow lead around 48 percent to Brown’s 46 percent in this toss-up contest. Traders assign the Democrat a 59.5 percent implied probability, citing Brown’s prior statewide success, strong first-quarter fundraising, and appeal among independents against Husted’s limited name recognition. Scheduled debates and summer polling could further influence the outcome before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$78,175 交易量
$78,175 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
60%
共和党
41%
$78,175 交易量
$78,175 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$45,642 交易量
60%
共和党
$32,533 交易量
41%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent primary results and fundraising dynamics are shaping trader views in the November 2026 special election to fill the Senate seat vacated by Vice President J.D. Vance. Former Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown secured 92 percent of the Democratic primary vote on May 5 amid elevated turnout, while appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted advanced unopposed. Polls since April, including those averaged by RealClearPolitics, show Husted holding a narrow lead around 48 percent to Brown’s 46 percent in this toss-up contest. Traders assign the Democrat a 59.5 percent implied probability, citing Brown’s prior statewide success, strong first-quarter fundraising, and appeal among independents against Husted’s limited name recognition. Scheduled debates and summer polling could further influence the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
交易量
$78,175结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent primary results and fundraising dynamics are shaping trader views in the November 2026 special election to fill the Senate seat vacated by Vice President J.D. Vance. Former Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown secured 92 percent of the Democratic primary vote on May 5 amid elevated turnout, while appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted advanced unopposed. Polls since April, including those averaged by RealClearPolitics, show Husted holding a narrow lead around 48 percent to Brown’s 46 percent in this toss-up contest. Traders assign the Democrat a 59.5 percent implied probability, citing Brown’s prior statewide success, strong first-quarter fundraising, and appeal among independents against Husted’s limited name recognition. Scheduled debates and summer polling could further influence the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$78,175结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent primary results and fundraising dynamics are shaping trader views in the November 2026 special election to fill the Senate seat vacated by Vice President J.D. Vance. Former Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown secured 92 percent of the Democratic primary vote on May 5 amid elevated turnout, while appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted advanced unopposed. Polls since April, including those averaged by RealClearPolitics, show Husted holding a narrow lead around 48 percent to Brown’s 46 percent in this toss-up contest. Traders assign the Democrat a 59.5 percent implied probability, citing Brown’s prior statewide success, strong first-quarter fundraising, and appeal among independents against Husted’s limited name recognition. Scheduled debates and summer polling could further influence the outcome before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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