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icon for Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
Geopolitics·Araghchi

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

icon for Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
Geopolitics·Araghchi

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

$62,797 Vol.

May 31, 2026
Polymarket

$62,797 Vol.

Polymarket

May 31

$3,591 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf reportedly explored removing Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in late April 2026, citing concerns over his alignment with Revolutionary Guard directives during nuclear and regional talks rather than full cabinet coordination. Despite these internal frictions amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions and post-Khamenei leadership adjustments, Araghchi has remained in the role through mid-May 2026, actively leading diplomacy including BRICS Foreign Ministers meetings in New Delhi and consultations with Chinese officials. Trader assessments of an early exit hinge on whether reformist pressures within the cabinet escalate into a formal dismissal before scheduled diplomatic deadlines, or if continuity prevails amid ongoing mediation efforts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,797
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf reportedly explored removing Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in late April 2026, citing concerns over his alignment with Revolutionary Guard directives during nuclear and regional talks rather than full cabinet coordination. Despite these internal frictions amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions and post-Khamenei leadership adjustments, Araghchi has remained in the role through mid-May 2026, actively leading diplomacy including BRICS Foreign Ministers meetings in New Delhi and consultations with Chinese officials. Trader assessments of an early exit hinge on whether reformist pressures within the cabinet escalate into a formal dismissal before scheduled diplomatic deadlines, or if continuity prevails amid ongoing mediation efforts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,797
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "May 31" at 7%, followed by "March 31" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" has generated $62.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" is "May 31" at just 7%, with "March 31" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.