Alaska Senate Election Winner

Name: Alaska Senate Election Winner
Start: 2025-10-13T20:54:00.300Z
End: 2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z

Alaska Senate Election Winner — Discussion

Afris · 2025-10-13T20:54:00.300Z

Discussion about Alaska Senate Election Winner. Traders share insights and predictions on Polymarket.

Mary Peltola 62%

Dan Sullivan 40%

Dustin Darden <1%

Ann Diener <1%

$323,969 Vol.

Nov 3, 2026

Mary Peltola

$158,950 Vol.

62%

Dan Sullivan

$89,467 Vol.

40%

Dustin Darden

$21,303 Vol.

<1%

Ann Diener

$33,723 Vol.

<1%

Richard Grayson

$20,526 Vol.

<1%

Mary Peltola 62%

Dan Sullivan 40%

Dustin Darden <1%

Ann Diener <1%

$323,969 Vol.

Nov 3, 2026

Mary Peltola

$158,950 Vol.

62%

Dan Sullivan

$89,467 Vol.

40%

Dustin Darden

$21,303 Vol.

<1%

Ann Diener

$33,723 Vol.

<1%

Richard Grayson

$20,526 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

38%

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

26%

Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

82%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Alaska Senate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mary Peltola" at 62%, followed by "Dan Sullivan" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alaska Senate Election Winner" has generated $324K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alaska Senate Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alaska Senate Election Winner" is "Mary Peltola" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dan Sullivan" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alaska Senate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Alaska Senate Election Winner." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $324K traded on “Alaska Senate Election Winner,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Alaska Senate Election Winner," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 62¢ for "Mary Peltola" in the "Alaska Senate Election Winner" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 62% chance that "Mary Peltola" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 62¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 38¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Alaska Senate Election Winner" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Nov 3, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Alaska Senate Election Winner" market has a growing discussion of 9 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Alaska Senate Election Winner." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Alaska Senate Election Winner

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Market Context

Rules

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Comments (9)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

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