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World·Armenia

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

icon for Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner
World·Armenia

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

Civil Contract 93%

Strong Armenia 5.9%

Armenia Alliance <1%

Prosperous Armenia <1%

Polymarket

$182,947 Vol.

Civil Contract 93%

Strong Armenia 5.9%

Armenia Alliance <1%

Prosperous Armenia <1%

Polymarket

$182,947 Vol.

icon for Civil Contract

Civil Contract

$55,503 Vol.

93%

icon for Strong Armenia

Strong Armenia

$9,166 Vol.

6%

icon for Armenia Alliance

Armenia Alliance

$57,303 Vol.

<1%

icon for Prosperous Armenia

Prosperous Armenia

$9,941 Vol.

<1%

icon for I Have Honor Alliance

I Have Honor Alliance

$7,527 Vol.

<1%

icon for Armenian National Congress

Armenian National Congress

$9,056 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bright Armenia

Bright Armenia

$7,934 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hanrapetutyun Party

Hanrapetutyun Party

$8,059 Vol.

<1%

icon for Heritage

Heritage

$8,430 Vol.

<1%

icon for Orinats Yerkir

Orinats Yerkir

$10,028 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding 92.5% implied probability in the June 7 parliamentary elections stems from consistent polling dominance, with recent EVN Report surveys through early May showing the incumbent party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, improving support to around 50% amid fragmented opposition unable to consolidate beyond the 5% threshold. The official campaign launch on May 8 featured 17 parties and two blocs, including Strong Armenia at 5.9%, but rivals like Armenia Alliance and Prosperous Armenia remain marginal due to internal divisions and low undecided voter swings. Traders' consensus reflects Civil Contract's path to plurality in the 101-seat National Assembly under proportional representation. Realistic challenges include a late opposition merger, major scandal, or flare-up in Azerbaijan border tensions shifting peace-vs-war framing.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.

If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volume
$182,947
End Date
Jun 7, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding 92.5% implied probability in the June 7 parliamentary elections stems from consistent polling dominance, with recent EVN Report surveys through early May showing the incumbent party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, improving support to around 50% amid fragmented opposition unable to consolidate beyond the 5% threshold. The official campaign launch on May 8 featured 17 parties and two blocs, including Strong Armenia at 5.9%, but rivals like Armenia Alliance and Prosperous Armenia remain marginal due to internal divisions and low undecided voter swings. Traders' consensus reflects Civil Contract's path to plurality in the 101-seat National Assembly under proportional representation. Realistic challenges include a late opposition merger, major scandal, or flare-up in Azerbaijan border tensions shifting peace-vs-war framing.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.

If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volume
$182,947
End Date
Jun 7, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Civil Contract" at 93%, followed by "Strong Armenia" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" has generated $182.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" is "Civil Contract" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Strong Armenia" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.