The ruling United Hearts Movement (MCU) secured a commanding position in the 2025–2026 Central African Republic legislative elections through its alignment with incumbent President Faustin-Archange Touadéra, who won re-election with roughly 77 percent in the concurrent presidential vote. MCU candidates captured 50 of the 74 seats declared after the December 2025 first round, reflecting institutional continuity, the extension of state authority, and limited opposition cohesion. The second round concluded in April 2026, followed by installation of the new National Assembly in May with an MCU speaker. While final tallies for remaining constituencies face procedural delays, opposition challenges have been rejected by the Constitutional Court, and no developments have emerged to alter the scale of MCU's plurality. Trader consensus prices this outcome at 92.5 percent, with UNDP at 2.1 percent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCentral African Republic National Assembly Election Winner
$131,350 Vol.
$131,350 Vol.

MCU
94%

UNDP
3%
$131,350 Vol.
$131,350 Vol.

MCU
94%

UNDP
3%
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
Market Opened: Dec 3, 2025, 12:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The ruling United Hearts Movement (MCU) secured a commanding position in the 2025–2026 Central African Republic legislative elections through its alignment with incumbent President Faustin-Archange Touadéra, who won re-election with roughly 77 percent in the concurrent presidential vote. MCU candidates captured 50 of the 74 seats declared after the December 2025 first round, reflecting institutional continuity, the extension of state authority, and limited opposition cohesion. The second round concluded in April 2026, followed by installation of the new National Assembly in May with an MCU speaker. While final tallies for remaining constituencies face procedural delays, opposition challenges have been rejected by the Constitutional Court, and no developments have emerged to alter the scale of MCU's plurality. Trader consensus prices this outcome at 92.5 percent, with UNDP at 2.1 percent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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