Guinea-Bissau’s National People’s Assembly election, rescheduled for December 2026 following the November 2025 coup that ousted President Umaro Sissoco Embaló and halted vote counting, shapes current trader sentiment. The electoral system’s preference for large coalitions gives Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” its leading position, as the group previously consolidated support around the incumbent amid the exclusion of major opposition forces like PAIGC. Smaller parties such as PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB trail due to narrower bases and limited recent organizational momentum during the military-led transition. Ongoing constitutional reforms, coalition realignments, and preparations for inclusive voting remain the primary variables that could alter these probabilities before polling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGuinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 35.0%
FLING 11.9%
PS 5.7%
FREPASNA 3.9%
$140,664 Vol.
$140,664 Vol.
Nov 23, 2025
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
35%
FLING
6%
PS
6%
FREPASNA
4%
MUNDO-GB
3%
PT
10%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 35.0%
FLING 11.9%
PS 5.7%
FREPASNA 3.9%
$140,664 Vol.
$140,664 Vol.
Nov 23, 2025
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
$39,663 Vol.
35%
FLING
$11,905 Vol.
6%
PS
$23,568 Vol.
6%
FREPASNA
$23,723 Vol.
4%
MUNDO-GB
$21,373 Vol.
3%
PT
$20,432 Vol.
10%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s National People’s Assembly election, rescheduled for December 2026 following the November 2025 coup that ousted President Umaro Sissoco Embaló and halted vote counting, shapes current trader sentiment. The electoral system’s preference for large coalitions gives Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” its leading position, as the group previously consolidated support around the incumbent amid the exclusion of major opposition forces like PAIGC. Smaller parties such as PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB trail due to narrower bases and limited recent organizational momentum during the military-led transition. Ongoing constitutional reforms, coalition realignments, and preparations for inclusive voting remain the primary variables that could alter these probabilities before polling.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Market Opened: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
Volume
$140,664End Date
Nov 23, 2025Market Opened
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s National People’s Assembly election, rescheduled for December 2026 following the November 2025 coup that ousted President Umaro Sissoco Embaló and halted vote counting, shapes current trader sentiment. The electoral system’s preference for large coalitions gives Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” its leading position, as the group previously consolidated support around the incumbent amid the exclusion of major opposition forces like PAIGC. Smaller parties such as PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB trail due to narrower bases and limited recent organizational momentum during the military-led transition. Ongoing constitutional reforms, coalition realignments, and preparations for inclusive voting remain the primary variables that could alter these probabilities before polling.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volume
$140,664End Date
Nov 23, 2025Market Opened
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Guinea-Bissau’s National People’s Assembly election, rescheduled for December 2026 following the November 2025 coup that ousted President Umaro Sissoco Embaló and halted vote counting, shapes current trader sentiment. The electoral system’s preference for large coalitions gives Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” its leading position, as the group previously consolidated support around the incumbent amid the exclusion of major opposition forces like PAIGC. Smaller parties such as PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB trail due to narrower bases and limited recent organizational momentum during the military-led transition. Ongoing constitutional reforms, coalition realignments, and preparations for inclusive voting remain the primary variables that could alter these probabilities before polling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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