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Politics·Primaries

Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner

icon for Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Mike Collins 53%

Derek Dooley 42.5%

Earl Carter 2.1%

Christoph La'Flare Chapman <1%

Polymarket

$644,015 Vol.

Mike Collins 53%

Derek Dooley 42.5%

Earl Carter 2.1%

Christoph La'Flare Chapman <1%

Polymarket

$644,015 Vol.

Mike Collins

$34,535 Vol.

53%

Derek Dooley

$267,984 Vol.

43%

Earl Carter

$265,744 Vol.

2%

Christoph La'Flare Chapman

$16,380 Vol.

<1%

Rick Temple

$13,529 Vol.

<1%

Reagan Box

$10,875 Vol.

<1%

Christina Loren Clement

$13,600 Vol.

<1%

Jonathan McColumn

$9,496 Vol.

<1%

Vinson Watkins

$11,872 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia. If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Georgia's Republican U.S. Senate primary features a tight contest between U.S. Rep. Mike Collins and former college football coach Derek Dooley, with trader consensus assigning Collins a narrow lead in implied probability. Recent polling from Quantus Insights shows Collins ahead at around 33 percent support, followed by Dooley at 23 percent, reflecting shifts after Gov. Brian Kemp's endorsement of Dooley and joint campaign events across the state. Carter's heavy television advertising spend has not translated into comparable momentum, while the candidates debated key issues including ethics allegations against Collins and appeals to conservative voters ahead of early voting. With the May 19 primary date fast approaching, final campaign pushes and turnout among Republican primary voters will likely determine the nominee to challenge Sen. Jon Ossoff in November.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia.

If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$644,015
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia. If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia. If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Georgia's Republican U.S. Senate primary features a tight contest between U.S. Rep. Mike Collins and former college football coach Derek Dooley, with trader consensus assigning Collins a narrow lead in implied probability. Recent polling from Quantus Insights shows Collins ahead at around 33 percent support, followed by Dooley at 23 percent, reflecting shifts after Gov. Brian Kemp's endorsement of Dooley and joint campaign events across the state. Carter's heavy television advertising spend has not translated into comparable momentum, while the candidates debated key issues including ethics allegations against Collins and appeals to conservative voters ahead of early voting. With the May 19 primary date fast approaching, final campaign pushes and turnout among Republican primary voters will likely determine the nominee to challenge Sen. Jon Ossoff in November.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia.

If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$644,015
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia. If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mike Collins" at 53%, followed by "Derek Dooley" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner" has generated $644K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Mike Collins" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Derek Dooley" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.