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Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner

icon for Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Mike Collins 53%

Derek Dooley 43.5%

Earl Carter 4.0%

Christoph La'Flare Chapman <1%

Polymarket

$644,100 Vol.

Mike Collins 53%

Derek Dooley 43.5%

Earl Carter 4.0%

Christoph La'Flare Chapman <1%

Polymarket

$644,100 Vol.

Mike Collins

$34,535 Vol.

53%

Derek Dooley

$267,993 Vol.

44%

Earl Carter

$265,820 Vol.

4%

Christoph La'Flare Chapman

$16,380 Vol.

<1%

Rick Temple

$13,529 Vol.

<1%

Reagan Box

$10,875 Vol.

<1%

Christina Loren Clement

$13,600 Vol.

<1%

Jonathan McColumn

$9,496 Vol.

<1%

Vinson Watkins

$11,872 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia. If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The competitive positioning in Georgia’s Republican Senate primary stems from Gov. Brian Kemp’s endorsement and recent television advertising for Derek Dooley, which have narrowed the gap with Rep. Mike Collins in a field lacking a clear majority frontrunner. Recent polls show Collins maintaining a lead around 30 percent while Dooley has climbed into the low 20s, reflecting Dooley’s name recognition from college football and Kemp’s influence among Georgia Republicans. Exchanges during the late-April debate and attack advertising from Rep. Buddy Carter have kept the contest fluid, with most voters still undecided ahead of the May 19 vote. Traders price the outcome near even odds because a runoff appears likely if no candidate secures over 50 percent, and late momentum shifts from endorsements or fundraising reports could alter the final tally.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia.

If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$644,100
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia. If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia. If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The competitive positioning in Georgia’s Republican Senate primary stems from Gov. Brian Kemp’s endorsement and recent television advertising for Derek Dooley, which have narrowed the gap with Rep. Mike Collins in a field lacking a clear majority frontrunner. Recent polls show Collins maintaining a lead around 30 percent while Dooley has climbed into the low 20s, reflecting Dooley’s name recognition from college football and Kemp’s influence among Georgia Republicans. Exchanges during the late-April debate and attack advertising from Rep. Buddy Carter have kept the contest fluid, with most voters still undecided ahead of the May 19 vote. Traders price the outcome near even odds because a runoff appears likely if no candidate secures over 50 percent, and late momentum shifts from endorsements or fundraising reports could alter the final tally.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia.

If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$644,100
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia. If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mike Collins" at 53%, followed by "Derek Dooley" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner" has generated $644.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Mike Collins" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Derek Dooley" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.