Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers shows a daytime maximum of 14°C in Amsterdam today, driven by persistent northerly flow and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover. Official observations from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute confirm morning temperatures climbing slowly from single digits, aligning with climatological norms for mid-May when Atlantic influences typically cap highs near this level. Traders have priced this outcome above 99 percent because any upward revision would require unexpected clearing and stronger southerly advection, scenarios models currently assign low probability. Updated short-range guidance later this afternoon could still shift the exact peak if boundary-layer mixing strengthens.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 17?
14°C 99.4%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$29,366 Vol.
$29,366 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
99%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.4%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$29,366 Vol.
$29,366 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$1,693 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,642 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,152 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$3,563 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$6,784 Vol.
99%
15°C
$4,841 Vol.
1%
16°C
$3,283 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,460 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,566 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$957 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$526 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers shows a daytime maximum of 14°C in Amsterdam today, driven by persistent northerly flow and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover. Official observations from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute confirm morning temperatures climbing slowly from single digits, aligning with climatological norms for mid-May when Atlantic influences typically cap highs near this level. Traders have priced this outcome above 99 percent because any upward revision would require unexpected clearing and stronger southerly advection, scenarios models currently assign low probability. Updated short-range guidance later this afternoon could still shift the exact peak if boundary-layer mixing strengthens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$29,366End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers shows a daytime maximum of 14°C in Amsterdam today, driven by persistent northerly flow and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover. Official observations from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute confirm morning temperatures climbing slowly from single digits, aligning with climatological norms for mid-May when Atlantic influences typically cap highs near this level. Traders have priced this outcome above 99 percent because any upward revision would require unexpected clearing and stronger southerly advection, scenarios models currently assign low probability. Updated short-range guidance later this afternoon could still shift the exact peak if boundary-layer mixing strengthens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,366End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMRecent model consensus from European forecasting centers shows a daytime maximum of 14°C in Amsterdam today, driven by persistent northerly flow and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover. Official observations from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute confirm morning temperatures climbing slowly from single digits, aligning with climatological norms for mid-May when Atlantic influences typically cap highs near this level. Traders have priced this outcome above 99 percent because any upward revision would require unexpected clearing and stronger southerly advection, scenarios models currently assign low probability. Updated short-range guidance later this afternoon could still shift the exact peak if boundary-layer mixing strengthens.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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