Trader consensus has locked in 14°C as the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17 with near-certainty, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional showing stable high-pressure conditions and maximum readings capped at that level. Current observations indicate cooler-than-average autumn air masses advected by southerly winds under clear skies, consistent with May climatology where daily maxima typically fall between 12–18°C. This market-implied outcome aligns with verified model runs showing minimal diurnal warming and no significant northerly moisture influx. An unexpected frontal passage or localized urban heat-island intensification could still shift the final recorded maximum, though upcoming observational updates from official stations are expected to confirm the current trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17?
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$37,708 Vol.
$37,708 Vol.
May 17, 2026
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$37,708 Vol.
$37,708 Vol.
May 17, 2026
14°C
$7,561 Vol.
100%
15°C
$3,834 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$5,075 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$3,869 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,022 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$3,719 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 14°C as the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17 with near-certainty, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional showing stable high-pressure conditions and maximum readings capped at that level. Current observations indicate cooler-than-average autumn air masses advected by southerly winds under clear skies, consistent with May climatology where daily maxima typically fall between 12–18°C. This market-implied outcome aligns with verified model runs showing minimal diurnal warming and no significant northerly moisture influx. An unexpected frontal passage or localized urban heat-island intensification could still shift the final recorded maximum, though upcoming observational updates from official stations are expected to confirm the current trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$37,708End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 14°C as the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17 with near-certainty, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional showing stable high-pressure conditions and maximum readings capped at that level. Current observations indicate cooler-than-average autumn air masses advected by southerly winds under clear skies, consistent with May climatology where daily maxima typically fall between 12–18°C. This market-implied outcome aligns with verified model runs showing minimal diurnal warming and no significant northerly moisture influx. An unexpected frontal passage or localized urban heat-island intensification could still shift the final recorded maximum, though upcoming observational updates from official stations are expected to confirm the current trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$37,708End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZTrader consensus has locked in 14°C as the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17 with near-certainty, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional showing stable high-pressure conditions and maximum readings capped at that level. Current observations indicate cooler-than-average autumn air masses advected by southerly winds under clear skies, consistent with May climatology where daily maxima typically fall between 12–18°C. This market-implied outcome aligns with verified model runs showing minimal diurnal warming and no significant northerly moisture influx. An unexpected frontal passage or localized urban heat-island intensification could still shift the final recorded maximum, though upcoming observational updates from official stations are expected to confirm the current trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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