Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional meteorological services converge on a daily maximum near 33°C in Chengdu on June 14, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns with typical mid-June climatology for the Sichuan basin, where highs most often range 28–33°C and extremes above 35°C remain uncommon early in the season. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for exactly 33°C reflects this tight model consensus and ongoing real-time observations. A rapid intensification of subtropical high pressure or an unforecasted downslope warming event could push readings to 34°C or higher, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to such shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
33°C 99.9%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$56,831 Vol.
$56,831 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.9%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$56,831 Vol.
$56,831 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
31°C or below
$11,609 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$10,884 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$14,178 Vol.
100%
34°C
$5,609 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,808 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$4,009 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,077 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$2,711 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$652 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$713 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$611 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional meteorological services converge on a daily maximum near 33°C in Chengdu on June 14, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns with typical mid-June climatology for the Sichuan basin, where highs most often range 28–33°C and extremes above 35°C remain uncommon early in the season. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for exactly 33°C reflects this tight model consensus and ongoing real-time observations. A rapid intensification of subtropical high pressure or an unforecasted downslope warming event could push readings to 34°C or higher, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$56,831End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional meteorological services converge on a daily maximum near 33°C in Chengdu on June 14, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns with typical mid-June climatology for the Sichuan basin, where highs most often range 28–33°C and extremes above 35°C remain uncommon early in the season. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for exactly 33°C reflects this tight model consensus and ongoing real-time observations. A rapid intensification of subtropical high pressure or an unforecasted downslope warming event could push readings to 34°C or higher, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$56,831End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional meteorological services converge on a daily maximum near 33°C in Chengdu on June 14, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns with typical mid-June climatology for the Sichuan basin, where highs most often range 28–33°C and extremes above 35°C remain uncommon early in the season. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for exactly 33°C reflects this tight model consensus and ongoing real-time observations. A rapid intensification of subtropical high pressure or an unforecasted downslope warming event could push readings to 34°C or higher, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to such shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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