Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a high of 33–34°C for Madrid on June 16 under stable high-pressure conditions and mostly sunny skies with light northwesterly winds. This positions the 33°C and 34°C outcomes as market leaders, consistent with typical early-summer continental heating in the region and recent model runs showing minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble guidance and historical analogs for mid-June support limited upside risk above 35°C absent a sudden warm advection shift, while downside below 32°C appears unlikely given current surface temperatures and insolation. Updated AEMET and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
33°C 48%
34°C 27%
32°C 20%
35°C 3.5%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
20%
33°C
48%
34°C
27%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 48%
34°C 27%
32°C 20%
35°C 3.5%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
30°C or below
$375 交易量
1%
31°C
$701 交易量
2%
32°C
$346 交易量
20%
33°C
$454 交易量
48%
34°C
$289 交易量
27%
35°C
$125 交易量
3%
36°C
$119 交易量
1%
37°C
$634 交易量
1%
38°C
$443 交易量
<1%
39°C
$371 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$456 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a high of 33–34°C for Madrid on June 16 under stable high-pressure conditions and mostly sunny skies with light northwesterly winds. This positions the 33°C and 34°C outcomes as market leaders, consistent with typical early-summer continental heating in the region and recent model runs showing minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble guidance and historical analogs for mid-June support limited upside risk above 35°C absent a sudden warm advection shift, while downside below 32°C appears unlikely given current surface temperatures and insolation. Updated AEMET and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$4,308結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a high of 33–34°C for Madrid on June 16 under stable high-pressure conditions and mostly sunny skies with light northwesterly winds. This positions the 33°C and 34°C outcomes as market leaders, consistent with typical early-summer continental heating in the region and recent model runs showing minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble guidance and historical analogs for mid-June support limited upside risk above 35°C absent a sudden warm advection shift, while downside below 32°C appears unlikely given current surface temperatures and insolation. Updated AEMET and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,308結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent short-range forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a high of 33–34°C for Madrid on June 16 under stable high-pressure conditions and mostly sunny skies with light northwesterly winds. This positions the 33°C and 34°C outcomes as market leaders, consistent with typical early-summer continental heating in the region and recent model runs showing minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble guidance and historical analogs for mid-June support limited upside risk above 35°C absent a sudden warm advection shift, while downside below 32°C appears unlikely given current surface temperatures and insolation. Updated AEMET and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions