Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C for Chengdu on May 16, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels limiting daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal May baselines averaging 26–28°C and recent observational trends showing no significant warm-air advection. The market’s overwhelming 100% consensus on 27°C reflects this tight model agreement and limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. Only an unexpected shift in cloud cover or localized warming could push readings to 28°C or above, though current data make such scenarios highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 16?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$96,251 Vol.
$96,251 Vol.
May 16, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$96,251 Vol.
$96,251 Vol.
May 16, 2026
21°C or below
$1,503 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,782 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,936 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,327 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,638 Vol.
No
26°C
$36,686 Vol.
No
27°C
$11,859 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$12,510 Vol.
No
29°C
$6,099 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,175 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$4,735 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C for Chengdu on May 16, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels limiting daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal May baselines averaging 26–28°C and recent observational trends showing no significant warm-air advection. The market’s overwhelming 100% consensus on 27°C reflects this tight model agreement and limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. Only an unexpected shift in cloud cover or localized warming could push readings to 28°C or above, though current data make such scenarios highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Volume
$96,251End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C for Chengdu on May 16, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels limiting daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal May baselines averaging 26–28°C and recent observational trends showing no significant warm-air advection. The market’s overwhelming 100% consensus on 27°C reflects this tight model agreement and limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. Only an unexpected shift in cloud cover or localized warming could push readings to 28°C or above, though current data make such scenarios highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$96,251End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C for Chengdu on May 16, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels limiting daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal May baselines averaging 26–28°C and recent observational trends showing no significant warm-air advection. The market’s overwhelming 100% consensus on 27°C reflects this tight model agreement and limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. Only an unexpected shift in cloud cover or localized warming could push readings to 28°C or above, though current data make such scenarios highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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