Trader consensus on a 17°C high in Helsinki on June 12 reflects official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting numerical weather models, which consistently project a daytime maximum near that threshold amid stable, cool early-summer conditions with light winds and limited solar heating. This positioning aligns with observed trends showing daily highs in the mid-teens and historical June averages around 16–17°C for the region. While the market-implied probability exceeds 99%, realistic challenges include localized variations in station measurements, unexpected cloud cover shifts, or late adjustments in model runs from agencies like FMI that could revise the peak by 1–2°C before final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於赫爾辛基6月12日的最高溫度?
17°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$44,278 交易量
$44,278 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或以上
否
17°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$44,278 交易量
$44,278 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on a 17°C high in Helsinki on June 12 reflects official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting numerical weather models, which consistently project a daytime maximum near that threshold amid stable, cool early-summer conditions with light winds and limited solar heating. This positioning aligns with observed trends showing daily highs in the mid-teens and historical June averages around 16–17°C for the region. While the market-implied probability exceeds 99%, realistic challenges include localized variations in station measurements, unexpected cloud cover shifts, or late adjustments in model runs from agencies like FMI that could revise the peak by 1–2°C before final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions