Recent National Weather Service model guidance and private forecasts point to daytime highs in Los Angeles on May 19 likely falling in the low-to-mid 70s, with some runs showing potential for brief warming to the upper 70s under clearing skies. Marine-layer influence and light onshore flow remain the key variables that could cap temperatures near 72°F or allow modest afternoon rises above 74°F. Historical May climatology for downtown Los Angeles shows an average high near 74°F, placing the current outlook close to seasonal norms yet sensitive to small shifts in cloud cover or wind. Updated short-range model runs and afternoon observations expected over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for traders assessing the narrow spread between the leading 74°F-or-higher and 72–73°F outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 19?
74°F or higher 36%
72-73°F 32%
70-71°F 29%
68-69°F 16%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
32%
74°F or higher
36%
74°F or higher 36%
72-73°F 32%
70-71°F 29%
68-69°F 16%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
32%
74°F or higher
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXRecent National Weather Service model guidance and private forecasts point to daytime highs in Los Angeles on May 19 likely falling in the low-to-mid 70s, with some runs showing potential for brief warming to the upper 70s under clearing skies. Marine-layer influence and light onshore flow remain the key variables that could cap temperatures near 72°F or allow modest afternoon rises above 74°F. Historical May climatology for downtown Los Angeles shows an average high near 74°F, placing the current outlook close to seasonal norms yet sensitive to small shifts in cloud cover or wind. Updated short-range model runs and afternoon observations expected over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for traders assessing the narrow spread between the leading 74°F-or-higher and 72–73°F outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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