The India Meteorological Department’s current forecast for Lucknow projects a daily maximum of 40–41°C on May 17 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with clear skies and light westerly winds limiting further warming. This aligns with climatological May averages of 38–42°C while reflecting recent observational trends showing no significant heat-wave intensification. Trader consensus heavily favors the 41°C-or-below outcome because official model runs and surface observations indicate the threshold will hold, though small revisions in afternoon heating or local wind shifts could still push readings to 42°C. Resolution hinges on the final IMD-verified high, with updated guidance expected later today.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 17?
41°C or below 99.9%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$42,826 Vol.
$42,826 Vol.
May 17, 2026
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 99.9%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$42,826 Vol.
$42,826 Vol.
May 17, 2026
41°C or below
$8,855 Vol.
100%
42°C
$3,097 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$4,095 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$5,343 Vol.
<1%
45°C
$3,118 Vol.
<1%
46°C
$2,551 Vol.
<1%
47°C
$6,418 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$6,412 Vol.
<1%
49°C
$862 Vol.
<1%
50°C
$908 Vol.
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,183 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The India Meteorological Department’s current forecast for Lucknow projects a daily maximum of 40–41°C on May 17 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with clear skies and light westerly winds limiting further warming. This aligns with climatological May averages of 38–42°C while reflecting recent observational trends showing no significant heat-wave intensification. Trader consensus heavily favors the 41°C-or-below outcome because official model runs and surface observations indicate the threshold will hold, though small revisions in afternoon heating or local wind shifts could still push readings to 42°C. Resolution hinges on the final IMD-verified high, with updated guidance expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$42,826End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The India Meteorological Department’s current forecast for Lucknow projects a daily maximum of 40–41°C on May 17 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with clear skies and light westerly winds limiting further warming. This aligns with climatological May averages of 38–42°C while reflecting recent observational trends showing no significant heat-wave intensification. Trader consensus heavily favors the 41°C-or-below outcome because official model runs and surface observations indicate the threshold will hold, though small revisions in afternoon heating or local wind shifts could still push readings to 42°C. Resolution hinges on the final IMD-verified high, with updated guidance expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$42,826End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThe India Meteorological Department’s current forecast for Lucknow projects a daily maximum of 40–41°C on May 17 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with clear skies and light westerly winds limiting further warming. This aligns with climatological May averages of 38–42°C while reflecting recent observational trends showing no significant heat-wave intensification. Trader consensus heavily favors the 41°C-or-below outcome because official model runs and surface observations indicate the threshold will hold, though small revisions in afternoon heating or local wind shifts could still push readings to 42°C. Resolution hinges on the final IMD-verified high, with updated guidance expected later today.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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