Recent forecast guidance from Italian meteorological agencies and European models points to a daytime high of 21–23°C in Milan on May 17 under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 21°C and 23°C. Afternoon solar heating in the Po Valley typically peaks between 14:00–16:00 local time, with the exact maximum sensitive to subtle shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing. Historical May averages near 22°C provide a climatological baseline, yet current ensemble runs show limited spread around this value, leaving traders focused on real-time observations from stations such as Milano Linate to resolve the narrow gap between the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on May 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 17?
22°C 40%
21°C 37%
23°C 18%
20°C 10%
$14,828 Vol.
$14,828 Vol.
May 17, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
37%
22°C
40%
23°C
18%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 40%
21°C 37%
23°C 18%
20°C 10%
$14,828 Vol.
$14,828 Vol.
May 17, 2026
15°C or below
$405 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$472 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,516 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,992 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,792 Vol.
2%
20°C
$1,761 Vol.
10%
21°C
$1,396 Vol.
37%
22°C
$1,277 Vol.
40%
23°C
$1,868 Vol.
18%
24°C
$1,048 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$1,361 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from Italian meteorological agencies and European models points to a daytime high of 21–23°C in Milan on May 17 under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 21°C and 23°C. Afternoon solar heating in the Po Valley typically peaks between 14:00–16:00 local time, with the exact maximum sensitive to subtle shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing. Historical May averages near 22°C provide a climatological baseline, yet current ensemble runs show limited spread around this value, leaving traders focused on real-time observations from stations such as Milano Linate to resolve the narrow gap between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$14,828End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from Italian meteorological agencies and European models points to a daytime high of 21–23°C in Milan on May 17 under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 21°C and 23°C. Afternoon solar heating in the Po Valley typically peaks between 14:00–16:00 local time, with the exact maximum sensitive to subtle shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing. Historical May averages near 22°C provide a climatological baseline, yet current ensemble runs show limited spread around this value, leaving traders focused on real-time observations from stations such as Milano Linate to resolve the narrow gap between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,828End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCRecent forecast guidance from Italian meteorological agencies and European models points to a daytime high of 21–23°C in Milan on May 17 under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 21°C and 23°C. Afternoon solar heating in the Po Valley typically peaks between 14:00–16:00 local time, with the exact maximum sensitive to subtle shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing. Historical May averages near 22°C provide a climatological baseline, yet current ensemble runs show limited spread around this value, leaving traders focused on real-time observations from stations such as Milano Linate to resolve the narrow gap between the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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