Current forecast models from European meteorological agencies show Milan under stable high-pressure influence on May 19, supporting a daily maximum near 22–23 °C amid light winds and partial cloud cover in the Po Valley. Ensemble runs indicate modest daytime warming potential limited by residual moisture and variable insolation, keeping the most likely peak tightly clustered between 21 °C and 24 °C. Historical May climatology for the region places average highs around 22 °C, providing context for why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to the top two outcomes. New model updates or surface observations over the next 48 hours could refine the exact maximum, particularly if afternoon clearing strengthens or a brief shower develops.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on May 19?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 19?
23°C 31%
22°C 29%
21°C 15%
24°C 14%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
8%
21°C
15%
22°C
29%
23°C
31%
24°C
14%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 31%
22°C 29%
21°C 15%
24°C 14%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
17°C or below
$25 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$77 Vol.
1%
19°C
$15 Vol.
1%
20°C
$137 Vol.
8%
21°C
$53 Vol.
15%
22°C
$125 Vol.
29%
23°C
$322 Vol.
31%
24°C
$63 Vol.
14%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C
$10 Vol.
3%
27°C or higher
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from European meteorological agencies show Milan under stable high-pressure influence on May 19, supporting a daily maximum near 22–23 °C amid light winds and partial cloud cover in the Po Valley. Ensemble runs indicate modest daytime warming potential limited by residual moisture and variable insolation, keeping the most likely peak tightly clustered between 21 °C and 24 °C. Historical May climatology for the region places average highs around 22 °C, providing context for why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to the top two outcomes. New model updates or surface observations over the next 48 hours could refine the exact maximum, particularly if afternoon clearing strengthens or a brief shower develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$847End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from European meteorological agencies show Milan under stable high-pressure influence on May 19, supporting a daily maximum near 22–23 °C amid light winds and partial cloud cover in the Po Valley. Ensemble runs indicate modest daytime warming potential limited by residual moisture and variable insolation, keeping the most likely peak tightly clustered between 21 °C and 24 °C. Historical May climatology for the region places average highs around 22 °C, providing context for why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to the top two outcomes. New model updates or surface observations over the next 48 hours could refine the exact maximum, particularly if afternoon clearing strengthens or a brief shower develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$847End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCCurrent forecast models from European meteorological agencies show Milan under stable high-pressure influence on May 19, supporting a daily maximum near 22–23 °C amid light winds and partial cloud cover in the Po Valley. Ensemble runs indicate modest daytime warming potential limited by residual moisture and variable insolation, keeping the most likely peak tightly clustered between 21 °C and 24 °C. Historical May climatology for the region places average highs around 22 °C, providing context for why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to the top two outcomes. New model updates or surface observations over the next 48 hours could refine the exact maximum, particularly if afternoon clearing strengthens or a brief shower develops.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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