Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a peak temperature near 16°C in Paris today, driven by a mild spring air mass with light winds and mostly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. Morning lows around 7–9°C have given way to gradual warming, though scattered cloud cover and minimal solar radiation cap the daily maximum below historical May averages of 18–19°C. This positions 16°C as the market leader at 61.5% implied probability, with 15°C holding secondary support at 25.5%. Traders are watching the final afternoon readings and official Paris-Montsouris station data for resolution, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind could favor adjacent outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 58%
15°C 36%
17°C 8%
18°C <1%
$84,426 Vol.
$84,426 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
36%
16°C
58%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 58%
15°C 36%
17°C 8%
18°C <1%
$84,426 Vol.
$84,426 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,434 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,788 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$7,570 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$15,801 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$9,830 Vol.
36%
16°C
$11,074 Vol.
58%
17°C
$10,489 Vol.
8%
18°C
$8,721 Vol.
1%
19°C
$11,660 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$4,166 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a peak temperature near 16°C in Paris today, driven by a mild spring air mass with light winds and mostly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. Morning lows around 7–9°C have given way to gradual warming, though scattered cloud cover and minimal solar radiation cap the daily maximum below historical May averages of 18–19°C. This positions 16°C as the market leader at 61.5% implied probability, with 15°C holding secondary support at 25.5%. Traders are watching the final afternoon readings and official Paris-Montsouris station data for resolution, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind could favor adjacent outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$84,426End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a peak temperature near 16°C in Paris today, driven by a mild spring air mass with light winds and mostly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. Morning lows around 7–9°C have given way to gradual warming, though scattered cloud cover and minimal solar radiation cap the daily maximum below historical May averages of 18–19°C. This positions 16°C as the market leader at 61.5% implied probability, with 15°C holding secondary support at 25.5%. Traders are watching the final afternoon readings and official Paris-Montsouris station data for resolution, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind could favor adjacent outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$84,426End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a peak temperature near 16°C in Paris today, driven by a mild spring air mass with light winds and mostly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. Morning lows around 7–9°C have given way to gradual warming, though scattered cloud cover and minimal solar radiation cap the daily maximum below historical May averages of 18–19°C. This positions 16°C as the market leader at 61.5% implied probability, with 15°C holding secondary support at 25.5%. Traders are watching the final afternoon readings and official Paris-Montsouris station data for resolution, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind could favor adjacent outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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